League One · Regular Season - 14
Wycombe vs Burton Albion
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Adams Park, High Wycombe
Wycombe host Burton Albion on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Wycombe 48%, draw 27%, Burton Albion 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wycombe €575K, Burton Albion €475K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Wycombe goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Wycombe 1823 · Burton Albion 1754
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wycombe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.5 (Good) · Elo 1861
Burton Albion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1801
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wycombe
11th in League One · 13 pts from 10
- 17 OctWNotts County England League One1816
- 10 OctLLuton England League One1813
- 6 OctWBristol Rovers England EFL Trophy1637
- 26 SepDReading England League One1836
- 19 SepWWigan England League One1827
Burton Albion
10th in League One · 13 pts from 11
- 17 OctDPeterborough England League One1799
- 10 OctLDoncaster England League One1816
- 6 OctDGrimsby England EFL Trophy1445
- 3 OctLHuddersfield England League One1838
- 26 SepWPlymouth England League One1806
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wycombe | 13 /10 | 63.8 | 1% | 11% | 2% | 10th |
| Burton Albion | 13 /11 | 57.9 | <1% | 2% | 8% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Wycombe: balanced profile (how Tom Hounsell plays) · Burton Albion: direct (how Gary David Bowyer plays)