3. Liga · Regular Season - 10
Würzburger Kickers 2–0 Waldhof Mannheim
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Flyeralarm Arena, Wuerzburg
Würzburger KickersTeam 1381
Waldhof MannheimTeam 1543Match story
Würzburger Kickers · draw · Waldhof MannheimBefore kick-off: 32% · 27% · 41%
Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Xaver Kiefersauer 44'
- Tarsis Bonga 89'
We gave Waldhof Mannheim 41% to win: Würzburger Kickers won.
- L. Omore 1292 +57*21'
Würzburger Kickers:L. Omore 1292 +57* - 39'Owono Darnell Keumo 1595 0
Waldhof Mannheim:Owono Darnell Keumo 1595 0 - 41'Diego Michel 1551 −2
Waldhof Mannheim:Diego Michel 1551 −2 - Xaver Kiefersauer 1493 +11944'
Würzburger Kickers:Xaver Kiefersauer 1493 +119 - 45'Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa Pessoa for Lovis Frederik Bierschenk 1565 0
Waldhof Mannheim:Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa Pessoa for Lovis Frederik Bierschenk 1565 0 - 45'Nolan Xavier Muteba N'Tumba 1432 −8* for Diego Michel 1551 −2
Waldhof Mannheim:Nolan Xavier Muteba N'Tumba 1432 −8* for Diego Michel 1551 −2 - 52'Vincent Thill 1747 −22
Waldhof Mannheim:Vincent Thill 1747 −22 - Tim·Kraus 1298 +40*56'
Würzburger Kickers:Tim·Kraus 1298 +40* - 60'Nolan Xavier Muteba N'Tumba 1432 −8*
Waldhof Mannheim:Nolan Xavier Muteba N'Tumba 1432 −8* - 62'Terrence Boyd 1294 −16* for Oluwaseun Ogbemudia 1628 −2
Waldhof Mannheim:Terrence Boyd 1294 −16* for Oluwaseun Ogbemudia 1628 −2 - 67'Julian Ulbricht 1421 0 for Gonçalo Gregório 1614 −3
Waldhof Mannheim:Julian Ulbricht 1421 0 for Gonçalo Gregório 1614 −3 - David Kinsombi 1592 +1 for Tim·Kraus 1298 +40*71'
Würzburger Kickers:David Kinsombi 1592 +1 for Tim·Kraus 1298 +40* - Burak Karakaya 1205 +13* for N. Embaye 1290 +49*80'
Würzburger Kickers:Burak Karakaya 1205 +13* for N. Embaye 1290 +49* - Dominik Meisel 1307 −2* for Luke Hemmerich 1186 +7280'
Würzburger Kickers:Dominik Meisel 1307 −2* for Luke Hemmerich 1186 +72 - 84'Djayson Eduardo Cardoso Mendes 1310 −8* for Owono Darnell Keumo 1595 0
Waldhof Mannheim:Djayson Eduardo Cardoso Mendes 1310 −8* for Owono Darnell Keumo 1595 0 - Philipp Ochs 1402 −3* for Franck evina 1629 +1585'
Würzburger Kickers:Philipp Ochs 1402 −3* for Franck evina 1629 +15 - Tarsis Bonga 1516 +106 assist Xaver Kiefersauer 1493 +11989'
Würzburger Kickers:Tarsis Bonga 1516 +106 assist Xaver Kiefersauer 1493 +119
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 32% · 27% · 41%(Würzburger Kickers · draw · Waldhof Mannheim)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Würzburger Kickers €240K, Waldhof Mannheim €321K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 3. Liga matchday 10: 136 points.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Würzburger Kickers
19th in 3. Liga · 8 pts from 9
- 13 OctDHavelse Germany 3 Liga1469
- 10 OctLHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1517
- 18 SepLVerl Germany 3 Liga1427
- 15 SepWAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1394
- 12 SepLRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1458
Waldhof Mannheim
9th in 3. Liga · 13 pts from 9
- 14 OctLFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1585
- 10 OctWSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1563
- 20 SepWPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1601
- 16 SepLRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1563
- 13 SepWSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1492
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Würzburger Kickers | 8 /9 | 42.0 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 17th |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 13 /9 | 54.6 | 1% | 11% | 1% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Würzburger Kickers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1516

Waldhof Mannheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1769
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.