3. Liga · Regular Season - 8
Würzburger Kickers 0–2 Hansa Rostock
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Flyeralarm Arena, Wuerzburg
Würzburger KickersTeam 1452
Hansa RostockTeam 1587Match story
Würzburger Kickers · draw · Hansa RostockBefore kick-off: 33% · 28% · 38%
Last reading, 90+3': 0% · 5% · 95%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.
- Marco Schuster 76'
We gave Hansa Rostock 38% to win: they did.
- 6'Marco Schuster 1700 +6*
Hansa Rostock:Marco Schuster 1700 +6* - 15'Ouassim Karada 1136 +72*
Hansa Rostock:Ouassim Karada 1136 +72* - L. Omore 1235 for David Abrangao 1531 −12*28'
Würzburger Kickers:L. Omore 1235 for David Abrangao 1531 −12* - 45'Benno Dietze 1668 for Maximilian Krauss 1649 +11*
Hansa Rostock:Benno Dietze 1668 for Maximilian Krauss 1649 +11* - Louis Breunig 1585 −18*45+1'
Würzburger Kickers:Louis Breunig 1585 −18* - Luke Hemmerich 1120 for Franck evina 1614 −21*65'
Würzburger Kickers:Luke Hemmerich 1120 for Franck evina 1614 −21* - Tim·Kraus 1259 for Thomas Kastanaras 1579 −17*65'
Würzburger Kickers:Tim·Kraus 1259 for Thomas Kastanaras 1579 −17* - 68'Emil Holten 1658 for Andreas Voglsammer 1557 +16*
Hansa Rostock:Emil Holten 1658 for Andreas Voglsammer 1557 +16* - Philipp Ochs 1409 for David Kinsombi 1592 −21*72'
Würzburger Kickers:Philipp Ochs 1409 for David Kinsombi 1592 −21* - 76'Marco Schuster 1700 +6*
Hansa Rostock:Marco Schuster 1700 +6* - 83'Yannick Michaelis 1414 for Leon Dajaku 1602 +18*
Hansa Rostock:Yannick Michaelis 1414 for Leon Dajaku 1602 +18* - 86'Niklas Kolle 1613 +17*
Hansa Rostock:Niklas Kolle 1613 +17* - Nathan De Medina 1577 −18*87'
Würzburger Kickers:Nathan De Medina 1577 −18* - 89'Milosz Brzozowski 1280 for Marco Schuster 1700 +6*
Hansa Rostock:Milosz Brzozowski 1280 for Marco Schuster 1700 +6* - 89'Franz Pfanne 1657 for David Kopacz 1731 +6*
Hansa Rostock:Franz Pfanne 1657 for David Kopacz 1731 +6* - 90+1'Milosz Brzozowski 1280
Hansa Rostock:Milosz Brzozowski 1280
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 33% · 28% · 38%(Würzburger Kickers · draw · Hansa Rostock)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Würzburger Kickers €321K, Hansa Rostock €374K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Würzburger Kickers
16th in 3. Liga · 7 pts from 7
- 18 SepLVerl Germany 3 Liga1427
- 15 SepWAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1394
- 12 SepLRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1458
- 6 SepLStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1463
- 29 AugLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1352
Hansa Rostock
6th in 3. Liga · 12 pts from 7
- 20 SepDRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1643
- 16 SepWStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1621
- 11 SepLFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1625
- 5 SepDSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1657
- 21 AugLVfB Stuttgart Germany DFB Pokal1629
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Würzburger Kickers | 7 /7 | 44.0 | 0% | 1% | 19% | 17th |
| Hansa Rostock | 12 /7 | 60.9 | 8% | 38% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Hansa Rostock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1658
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.