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Super League · Regular Season - 28

Wuhan Three Towns 1–3 Shanghai Shenhua

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Wuhan Sports Centre, Wuhan

Wuhan Three Towns crestWuhan Three TownsTeam 1635
1–3
Full time
HT 0–1
Shanghai Shenhua crestShanghai ShenhuaTeam 1796

Match story

Wuhan Three Towns · draw · Shanghai Shenhua

Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%

Live chances: Wuhan Three Towns 0%, draw 0%, Shanghai Shenhua 100% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Wuhan Three Towns 30%, draw 29%, Shanghai Shenhua 41%2' · 0–0 · Wuhan Three Towns 30%, draw 29%, Shanghai Shenhua 41%3' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 16%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 61%4' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 16%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 61%5' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 16%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 61%6' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 16%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 61%7' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 16%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 61%9' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 16%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 61%11' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 16%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 62%12' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 15%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 62%13' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 15%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 62%14' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 15%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 62%15' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 15%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 62%17' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 15%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 62%18' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 15%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 62%19' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 15%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 62%21' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 14%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 62%22' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 14%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 62%23' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 14%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 63%25' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 14%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 63%26' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 14%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 63%27' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 14%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 63%28' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 14%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 63%30' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 13%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 63%31' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 13%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 63%32' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 13%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 64%34' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 13%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 64%35' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 13%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 64%36' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 12%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 64%37' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 12%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 64%38' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 12%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 64%39' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 12%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 64%40' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 12%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 65%41' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 12%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 65%42' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 11%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 65%43' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 11%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 65%45' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 11%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 65%45+1' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 11%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 66%45+3' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 10%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 66%45+4' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 10%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 66%HT · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 10%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 66%46' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 10%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 66%47' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 10%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 66%48' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 10%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 67%49' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 10%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 67%50' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 9%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 67%51' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 9%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 67%52' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 9%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 68%54' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 9%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 68%55' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 8%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 69%56' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 8%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 69%57' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 8%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 69%58' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 8%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 70%59' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 7%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 70%60' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 7%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 70%61' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 7%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 71%62' · 0–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 7%, draw 22%, Shanghai Shenhua 71%63' · 1–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 24%, draw 47%, Shanghai Shenhua 29%64' · 1–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 23%, draw 48%, Shanghai Shenhua 29%65' · 1–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 23%, draw 49%, Shanghai Shenhua 28%66' · 1–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 23%, draw 50%, Shanghai Shenhua 28%67' · 1–1 · Wuhan Three Towns 22%, draw 50%, Shanghai Shenhua 27%68' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 5%, draw 21%, Shanghai Shenhua 73%69' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 5%, draw 21%, Shanghai Shenhua 74%70' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 5%, draw 21%, Shanghai Shenhua 74%71' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 5%, draw 21%, Shanghai Shenhua 75%72' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 4%, draw 20%, Shanghai Shenhua 75%73' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 4%, draw 20%, Shanghai Shenhua 76%74' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 4%, draw 20%, Shanghai Shenhua 77%75' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 4%, draw 19%, Shanghai Shenhua 77%76' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 3%, draw 19%, Shanghai Shenhua 78%77' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 3%, draw 18%, Shanghai Shenhua 78%78' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 3%, draw 18%, Shanghai Shenhua 79%79' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 3%, draw 18%, Shanghai Shenhua 80%80' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 2%, draw 17%, Shanghai Shenhua 81%81' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 2%, draw 16%, Shanghai Shenhua 81%82' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 2%, draw 16%, Shanghai Shenhua 82%83' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 2%, draw 15%, Shanghai Shenhua 83%84' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 2%, draw 15%, Shanghai Shenhua 84%85' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 1%, draw 14%, Shanghai Shenhua 85%86' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 1%, draw 13%, Shanghai Shenhua 86%87' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 1%, draw 12%, Shanghai Shenhua 87%88' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 1%, draw 11%, Shanghai Shenhua 88%89' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 1%, draw 10%, Shanghai Shenhua 89%90' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 1%, draw 9%, Shanghai Shenhua 90%90+1' · 1–2 · Wuhan Three Towns 0%, draw 8%, Shanghai Shenhua 91%90+2' · 1–3 · Wuhan Three Towns 0%, draw 0%, Shanghai Shenhua 100%90+3' · 1–3 · Wuhan Three Towns 0%, draw 0%, Shanghai Shenhua 100%90+4' · 1–3 · Wuhan Three Towns 0%, draw 0%, Shanghai Shenhua 100%90+5' · 1–3 · Wuhan Three Towns 0%, draw 0%, Shanghai Shenhua 100%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Shanghai Shenhua 41% to win: they did.

  1. 2'Shanghai Shenhua:L. Asue 1914 +28
  2. 43'Shanghai Shenhua:L. Asue 1914 +28
  3. 45+1'Shanghai Shenhua:Zhu Chenjie 1888 +32
  4. 46'Wuhan Three Towns:A. Leautey 1558 −3 for Wang Jinxian 1556 −3
  5. 60'Wuhan Three Towns:Li Shenyuan 1622 −2
  6. 62'Wuhan Three Towns:J. Cadiz 1701 −17 assist A. Leautey 1558 −3
  7. 67'Shanghai Shenhua:Rafael Ratao 1873 +31 (pen.)
  8. 67'Shanghai Shenhua:Xu Haoyang 1840 +3 for Xie Pengfei 1744 +8
  9. 67'Shanghai Shenhua:Chan Shinichi 1877 +8 for Yang Zexiang 1667 +12
  10. 70'Wuhan Three Towns:J. Xiong 1514 0 for Li Shenyuan 1622 −2
  11. 76'Shanghai Shenhua:Wang Haijian 1859 +2 for Gao Tianyi 1842 +30
  12. 76'Wuhan Three Towns:Liu Binbin 1549 −5 for Gustavo Sauer 1642 −18*
  13. 86'Shanghai Shenhua:Jiang Shenglong 1936 −7* for J. Teixeira 1837 +30
  14. 86'Wuhan Three Towns:Zheng Haoqian 1528 −8* for Zhang Xiaobin 1545 −4
  15. 87'Shanghai Shenhua:Han Jiawen 1616 +6 for L. Asue 1914 +28
  16. 88'Wuhan Three Towns:Xu Haofeng 1560 −1
  17. 90+1'Shanghai Shenhua:Han Jiawen 1616 +6 assist Wu Xi 1833 +26

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-2-3-1
GGuo Jiayu13140
DShenyuan Li1622−2
DGuan He1589−5
DAng Li1692−17*
DXu Haofeng1560−1
MJinxian Wang1556−3
MXiaobing Zhang1545−4
MAdriano Firmino1742−20
MKilian Bevis1705−16
FGustavo Sauer1642−18*
FJhonder Cádiz1701−17
CRicardo Soares1480
GQinghao Xue1897+31
DZexiang Yang1667+12
DJin Shunkai1878+33
DChenjie Zhu1888+32
DWilson Manafá1893+28
MTianyi Gao1842+30
MWu Xi1833+26
MLuís Asué1914+28
MJoão Carlos Teixeira1837+30
MXie Pengfei1744+8
FRafael Ratão1873+31
CVladan Milojević2011
Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%(Wuhan Three Towns · draw · Shanghai Shenhua)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–3 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Wuhan Three Towns €277K, Shanghai Shenhua €632K.
  • Super League: Luís Asué was the highest-rated midfielder (1886).
  • All 11 of Wuhan Three Towns' expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Wuhan Three Towns

15th in Super League · 22 pts from 27

  • 11 OctDShenyang Urban 1585
  • 18 SepLHangzhou Greentown 1667
  • 12 SepDHenan Jianye 1647
  • 5 SepDQingdao Youth Island 1687
  • 29 AugWQingdao Jonoon 1643

Shanghai Shenhua

8th in Super League · 34 pts from 27

  • 15 OctDSvay Rieng 1810
  • 10 OctWYunnan Yukun 1815
  • 6 SepWChongqing Tongliang Long 1772
  • 28 AugLShandong Luneng 1788
  • 22 AugWChengdu Better City 1763

Season outlook

From the Super League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Wuhan Three Towns22 /2725.60%0%98%15th
Shanghai Shenhua34 /2739.00%4%0%8th
Wuhan Three Towns
Shanghai Shenhua

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Super League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Gustavo Sauer
Gustavo Sauer

Wuhan Three Towns · +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1660

Wu Xi
Wu Xi

Shanghai Shenhua · +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1806

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ricardo Soares

Coach DNA: –

Vladan Milojević

Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Wuhan Three Towns: dribble-heavy (how Ricardo Soares plays) · Shanghai Shenhua: shot-heavy · creative (how Vladan Milojević plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.