Super League · Regular Season - 29
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Wuhan Sports Centre, Wuhan
Wuhan Three Towns host Shandong Luneng on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Wuhan Three Towns 34%, draw 29%, Shandong Luneng 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wuhan Three Towns €284K, Shandong Luneng €455K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Super League): Wuhan Three Towns rank #4 of 18, Shandong Luneng #18.
- All 11 of Wuhan Three Towns' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Wuhan Three Towns goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Wuhan Three Towns 1623 · Shandong Luneng 1722
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wuhan Three Towns · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1642
Shandong Luneng · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 1814
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wuhan Three Towns
15th in Super League · 22 pts from 28
- 18 OctLShanghai Shenhua Chinese Super League1622
- 11 OctDShenyang Urban Chinese Super League1585
- 18 SepLHangzhou Greentown Chinese Super League1667
- 12 SepDHenan Jianye Chinese Super League1647
- 5 SepDQingdao Youth Island Chinese Super League1687
Shandong Luneng
4th in Super League · 41 pts from 28
- 17 OctWHangzhou Greentown Chinese Super League1733
- 11 OctDChongqing Tongliang Long Chinese Super League1717
- 5 SepDSichuan Jiuniu Chinese Super League1762
- 28 AugWShanghai Shenhua Chinese Super League1629
- 22 AugLQingdao Youth Island Chinese Super League1733
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns | 22 /28 | 24.3 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 15th |
| Shandong Luneng | 41 /28 | 43.9 | 0% | 54% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Wuhan Three Towns: dribble-heavy (how Ricardo Soares plays) · Shandong Luneng: dribble-heavy (how Tian Tang plays)