2. Liga · Regular Season - 12
WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Huber-Arena, Wels
WSPG Wels host Sturm Graz II on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (2. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: WSPG Wels 41%, draw 29%, Sturm Graz II 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: WSPG Wels €221K, Sturm Graz II €206K.
- Home advantage makes WSPG Wels the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- K. Schröcker, N. Keckeisen, M. Thurnwald, T. Şahin, S. Malinowski, S. Feyrer, M. Švec and P. Gobara (WSPG Wels) have not played for over 90 days.
- E. Lorenz, B. Maierhofer, B. Pernot, G. Haider, W. Lazarre, T. Gurmann, D. Jastrzembski, Daniel Nsumbu and Jonas Peinhart (Sturm Graz II) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. WSPG Wels goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: WSPG Wels 1328 · Sturm Graz II 1337
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; WSPG Wels from last season's line-ups (latest 14 May 2026); Sturm Graz II from last season's line-ups (latest 14 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
WSPG Wels · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1496
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
WSPG Wels
14th in 2. Liga · 8 pts from 9
- 14 MayLSKN ST. Polten Austria 2 Liga1352
- 2 MayLFirst Vienna Austria 2 Liga1394
- 6 AprDAustria Salzburg Austria 2 Liga1389
- 3 AprLAustria Klagenfurt Austria 2 Liga1423
- 20 MarWFC Liefering Austria 2 Liga1383
Sturm Graz II
13th in 2. Liga · 8 pts from 9
- 14 MayLRapid Wien II Austria 2 Liga1356
- 2 MayLAustria Salzburg Austria 2 Liga1368
- 6 AprWSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz Austria 2 Liga1330
- 3 AprLSKN ST. Polten Austria 2 Liga1409
- 14 MarLAustria Lustenau Austria 2 Liga1406
Season outlook
From the 2. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSPG Wels | 8 /9 | 32.6 | 0% | <1% | 46% | 15th |
| Sturm Graz II | 8 /9 | 32.3 | 0% | 1% | 47% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block
Coach DNA: –