Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
WSG Wattens 1–2 Ried
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
WSG WattensTeam 1589
RiedTeam 1561Match story
WSG Wattens · draw · RiedBefore kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 3% · 97%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Stefan Schwab 15' (pen)
- Philipp Pomer 43'
We gave WSG Wattens 44% to win: Ried won.
- Nikolai Baden Frederiksen 1626 −18*8'
WSG Wattens:Nikolai Baden Frederiksen 1626 −18* - 15'Stefan Schwab 1576 +4* (pen.)
Ried:Stefan Schwab 1576 +4* (pen.) - 43'Philipp Pomer 1698 +20*
Ried:Philipp Pomer 1698 +20* - Moritz Wels 1625 −9* for Husein Balić 1547 −10*45'
WSG Wattens:Moritz Wels 1625 −9* for Husein Balić 1547 −10* - Marco Boras 1684 −17*45+1'
WSG Wattens:Marco Boras 1684 −17* - Murat Satin 1597 −10* for Thomas Goiginger 1609 −15*69'
WSG Wattens:Murat Satin 1597 −10* for Thomas Goiginger 1609 −15* - 70'Lukas Malicsek 1643 −5* for Martin Rasner 1510 +10*
Ried:Lukas Malicsek 1643 −5* for Martin Rasner 1510 +10* - 70'Oliver Sorg 1446 −1* for J. Rhodes 1348 +26*
Ried:Oliver Sorg 1446 −1* for J. Rhodes 1348 +26* - 76'Andreas Leitner 1658 +34*
Ried:Andreas Leitner 1658 +34* - 77'Isaac Thelin 1593 −11* for Evan Eghosa Aisowieren 1542 +13*
Ried:Isaac Thelin 1593 −11* for Evan Eghosa Aisowieren 1542 +13* - Thomas Sabitzer 1557 −8* for Nikolai Baden Frederiksen 1626 −18*78'
WSG Wattens:Thomas Sabitzer 1557 −8* for Nikolai Baden Frederiksen 1626 −18* - Lukas Hinterseer 1276 −15* for M. Olakigbe 1730 −20*78'
WSG Wattens:Lukas Hinterseer 1276 −15* for M. Olakigbe 1730 −20* - 82'Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer 1562 +15*
Ried:Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer 1562 +15* - 83'Dejan Radonjic 1588 −6* for Philipp Pomer 1698 +20*
Ried:Dejan Radonjic 1588 −6* for Philipp Pomer 1698 +20* - David Kubatta 1579 −8* for Marc Striednig 1611 −10*90+2'
WSG Wattens:David Kubatta 1579 −8* for Marc Striednig 1611 −10*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%(WSG Wattens · draw · Ried)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: WSG Wattens €572K, Ried €351K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
WSG Wattens
7th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 7
- 18 SepLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1653
- 13 SepDTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1646
- 2 SepWAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1619
- 28 AugWAustria Lustenau Austrian Bundesliga1572
- 16 AugLRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1524
Ried
5th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 7
- 20 SepWWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1530
- 11 SepDRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1563
- 30 AugLTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1558
- 21 AugWGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1531
- 14 AugLLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1543
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSG Wattens | 8 /7 | 25.4 | 0% | 3% | 28% | 8th |
| Ried | 8 /7 | 24.2 | 0% | 3% | 37% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

WSG Wattens · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1610

Ried · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1642
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
WSG Wattens: balanced profile (how Philipp Semlic plays) · Ried: balanced profile (how Mario Despotović plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.