Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10
WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
WSG Wattens host Grazer AK on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: WSG Wattens 37%, draw 29%, Grazer AK 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: WSG Wattens €585K, Grazer AK €524K.
- Home advantage makes WSG Wattens the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. WSG Wattens goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: WSG Wattens 1620 · Grazer AK 1680
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
WSG Wattens · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1642
Grazer AK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1740
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
WSG Wattens
6th in Bundesliga · 11 pts from 9
- 18 OctWWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1638
- 10 OctLRied Austrian Bundesliga1640
- 18 SepLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1653
- 13 SepDTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1646
- 2 SepWAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1619
Grazer AK
8th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 9
- 18 OctLSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1694
- 10 OctDRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1695
- 19 SepDAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1703
- 12 SepWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1630
- 29 AugDWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1670
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSG Wattens | 11 /9 | 25.7 | 0% | 2% | 19% | 7th |
| Grazer AK | 9 /9 | 25.9 | 0% | 2% | 22% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
WSG Wattens: balanced profile (how Philipp Semlic plays) · Grazer AK: direct (how Gerald Scheiblehner plays)