Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13
WSG Wattens vs Austria Lustenau
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
WSG Wattens host Austria Lustenau on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: WSG Wattens 48%, draw 27%, Austria Lustenau 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: WSG Wattens €614K, Austria Lustenau €290K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. WSG Wattens goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–07%
- 0–16%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: WSG Wattens 1612 · Austria Lustenau 1528
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
WSG Wattens · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1686
Austria Lustenau · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1581
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
WSG Wattens
7th in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 12
- 8 NovDAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1652
- 31 OctLLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1628
- 24 OctDGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1636
- 18 OctWWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1632
- 10 OctLRied Austrian Bundesliga1634
Austria Lustenau
8th in Bundesliga · 11 pts from 12
- 7 NovWGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1519
- 1 NovLRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1504
- 24 OctLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1497
- 17 OctLLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1478
- 11 OctLTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1520
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSG Wattens | 13 /12 | 24.1 | 0% | <1% | 16% | 7th |
| Austria Lustenau | 11 /12 | 20.2 | 0% | 0% | 60% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
WSG Wattens: balanced profile (how Philipp Semlic plays) · Austria Lustenau: direct (how Markus Mader plays)