Championship · Regular Season - 10
Wrexham 1–2 West Brom
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
WrexhamTeam 1939
West BromTeam 1901Match story
Wrexham · draw · West BromBefore kick-off: 43% · 32% · 26%
Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Kieffer Moore 64'
- Isaac Price 79'
- Aune Heggebo 84'
We gave Wrexham 43% to win: West Brom won.
- 39'Rabby Nzingoula 1854 +29
West Brom:Rabby Nzingoula 1854 +29 - Kieffer Moore 1842 −6 assist Oliver Rathbone 1913 −364'
Wrexham:Kieffer Moore 1842 −6 assist Oliver Rathbone 1913 −3 - Sam Smith 1908 −1 for Kieffer Moore 1842 −669'
Wrexham:Sam Smith 1908 −1 for Kieffer Moore 1842 −6 - Danny Imray 1910 0 for Issa Kabore 1964 −369'
Wrexham:Danny Imray 1910 0 for Issa Kabore 1964 −3 - Lewis O'Brien 1946 −2 for Oliver Rathbone 1913 −372'
Wrexham:Lewis O'Brien 1946 −2 for Oliver Rathbone 1913 −3 - 76'J. Morgan 1911 +4 for Harry Whitwell 1775 +28
West Brom:J. Morgan 1911 +4 for Harry Whitwell 1775 +28 - 76'Aune Heggebo 1970 +9 for Barney Stewart 1690 +33
West Brom:Aune Heggebo 1970 +9 for Barney Stewart 1690 +33 - 79'Isaac Price 2196 +26
West Brom:Isaac Price 2196 +26 - 80'Nathaniel Phillips 2012 +1 for Chris Mepham 1920 +61
West Brom:Nathaniel Phillips 2012 +1 for Chris Mepham 1920 +61 - Zak Vyner 1948 −483'
Wrexham:Zak Vyner 1948 −4 - 83'Ousmane·Diakite 1959 +1 for Toby Collyer 1578 +43
West Brom:Ousmane·Diakite 1959 +1 for Toby Collyer 1578 +43 - 84'Aune Heggebo 1970 +9 assist Isaac Price 2196 +26
West Brom:Aune Heggebo 1970 +9 assist Isaac Price 2196 +26 - Ryan·Longman 1949 0 for Jacques Ekomié 1899 088'
Wrexham:Ryan·Longman 1949 0 for Jacques Ekomié 1899 0 - B. Cadamarteri 1749 0 for Zak Vyner 1948 −488'
Wrexham:B. Cadamarteri 1749 0 for Zak Vyner 1948 −4
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 43% · 32% · 26%(Wrexham · draw · West Brom)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Wrexham €2.9M, West Brom €2.6M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wrexham
15th in Championship · 11 pts from 9
- 10 OctDDerby England Championship1945
- 19 SepWSouthampton England Championship1923
- 11 SepLWest Ham England Championship1942
- 8 SepDBurnley England Championship1924
- 5 SepDSwansea England Championship1947
West Brom
9th in Championship · 14 pts from 9
- 10 OctLBirmingham England Championship1891
- 20 SepLWolves England Championship1952
- 12 SepDQPR England Championship1902
- 9 SepWDerby England Championship1947
- 5 SepWWatford England Championship1909
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | 11 /9 | 60.1 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 13th |
| West Brom | 14 /9 | 61.7 | <1% | 4% | 4% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Wrexham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2010

West Brom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2017
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Wrexham: balanced profile (how Philip John Parkinson plays) · West Brom: balanced profile (how James Morrison plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.