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Championship · Regular Season - 11

Wrexham 4–1 Preston

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Racecourse Ground, Wrexham

Wrexham crestWrexhamTeam 1917
4–1
Full time
HT 2–1
Preston crestPrestonTeam 1770

Match story

Wrexham · draw · Preston

Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 20%

Live chances: Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Wrexham 53%, draw 27%, Preston 20%2' · 0–0 · Wrexham 53%, draw 27%, Preston 20%3' · 0–0 · Wrexham 53%, draw 27%, Preston 20%4' · 0–0 · Wrexham 53%, draw 27%, Preston 20%5' · 0–0 · Wrexham 53%, draw 27%, Preston 20%6' · 0–0 · Wrexham 52%, draw 27%, Preston 20%7' · 0–0 · Wrexham 52%, draw 27%, Preston 20%8' · 0–0 · Wrexham 52%, draw 27%, Preston 21%9' · 0–0 · Wrexham 52%, draw 27%, Preston 21%10' · 0–0 · Wrexham 52%, draw 28%, Preston 21%11' · 0–0 · Wrexham 52%, draw 28%, Preston 21%12' · 0–0 · Wrexham 51%, draw 28%, Preston 21%13' · 0–0 · Wrexham 51%, draw 28%, Preston 21%14' · 0–0 · Wrexham 51%, draw 28%, Preston 21%15' · 0–0 · Wrexham 51%, draw 28%, Preston 21%16' · 0–0 · Wrexham 51%, draw 29%, Preston 21%17' · 0–0 · Wrexham 50%, draw 29%, Preston 21%18' · 0–0 · Wrexham 50%, draw 29%, Preston 21%19' · 0–0 · Wrexham 50%, draw 29%, Preston 21%20' · 0–0 · Wrexham 50%, draw 29%, Preston 21%21' · 0–0 · Wrexham 50%, draw 29%, Preston 21%22' · 0–0 · Wrexham 50%, draw 30%, Preston 21%23' · 0–0 · Wrexham 49%, draw 30%, Preston 21%24' · 0–0 · Wrexham 49%, draw 30%, Preston 21%25' · 0–0 · Wrexham 49%, draw 30%, Preston 21%26' · 0–0 · Wrexham 49%, draw 30%, Preston 21%27' · 0–0 · Wrexham 48%, draw 31%, Preston 21%28' · 0–0 · Wrexham 48%, draw 31%, Preston 21%29' · 0–0 · Wrexham 48%, draw 31%, Preston 21%30' · 0–0 · Wrexham 48%, draw 31%, Preston 21%31' · 0–0 · Wrexham 48%, draw 31%, Preston 21%32' · 0–0 · Wrexham 47%, draw 32%, Preston 21%33' · 1–0 · Wrexham 77%, draw 17%, Preston 6%34' · 1–0 · Wrexham 77%, draw 17%, Preston 6%35' · 1–0 · Wrexham 77%, draw 17%, Preston 6%36' · 1–0 · Wrexham 77%, draw 17%, Preston 6%37' · 1–0 · Wrexham 77%, draw 17%, Preston 6%38' · 1–1 · Wrexham 46%, draw 33%, Preston 21%39' · 1–1 · Wrexham 45%, draw 34%, Preston 21%40' · 1–1 · Wrexham 45%, draw 34%, Preston 21%41' · 1–1 · Wrexham 45%, draw 34%, Preston 21%42' · 1–1 · Wrexham 45%, draw 34%, Preston 21%43' · 1–1 · Wrexham 44%, draw 35%, Preston 21%44' · 2–1 · Wrexham 77%, draw 17%, Preston 6%45' · 2–1 · Wrexham 77%, draw 17%, Preston 6%45+1' · 2–1 · Wrexham 77%, draw 18%, Preston 5%45+2' · 2–1 · Wrexham 77%, draw 18%, Preston 5%HT · 2–1 · Wrexham 77%, draw 18%, Preston 5%47' · 2–1 · Wrexham 77%, draw 18%, Preston 5%48' · 2–1 · Wrexham 77%, draw 18%, Preston 5%49' · 2–1 · Wrexham 77%, draw 18%, Preston 5%50' · 2–1 · Wrexham 78%, draw 18%, Preston 5%51' · 2–1 · Wrexham 78%, draw 17%, Preston 5%52' · 2–1 · Wrexham 78%, draw 17%, Preston 5%53' · 2–1 · Wrexham 78%, draw 17%, Preston 5%54' · 2–1 · Wrexham 78%, draw 17%, Preston 4%55' · 2–1 · Wrexham 78%, draw 17%, Preston 4%56' · 2–1 · Wrexham 78%, draw 17%, Preston 4%57' · 2–1 · Wrexham 79%, draw 17%, Preston 4%58' · 2–1 · Wrexham 79%, draw 17%, Preston 4%59' · 2–1 · Wrexham 79%, draw 17%, Preston 4%60' · 3–1 · Wrexham 97%, draw 3%, Preston 0%61' · 3–1 · Wrexham 97%, draw 3%, Preston 0%62' · 3–1 · Wrexham 97%, draw 3%, Preston 0%63' · 3–1 · Wrexham 97%, draw 3%, Preston 0%64' · 3–1 · Wrexham 97%, draw 3%, Preston 0%65' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%66' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%67' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%68' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%70' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%71' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%72' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%73' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%74' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%75' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%76' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%77' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%78' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%79' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%80' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%81' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%82' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%83' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%84' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%85' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%86' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%87' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%88' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%89' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%90' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%90+1' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%90+2' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%90+3' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%90+4' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%90+5' · 4–1 · Wrexham 100%, draw 0%, Preston 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Wrexham 53% to win: they did.

  1. 9'Preston:Andrija Vukčević 1634 −2
  2. 21'Wrexham:Benjamin Whiteman 1948 +54
  3. 31'Wrexham:Joe Worrall 1961 +53 assist Danny Imray 1926 +16
  4. 36'Preston:Alfie Devine 1808 −22
  5. 42'Wrexham:Benjamin Whiteman 1948 +54
  6. 56'Preston:Brad Potts 1715 −12* for Liam Lindsay 1801 −15*
  7. 59'Wrexham:Sam Smith 1961 +53 assist Benjamin Whiteman 1948 +54
  8. 62'Preston:Andrew Hughes 1726 −7
  9. 63'Wrexham:Kieffer Moore 1894 +53 assist Joe Worrall 1961 +53
  10. 66'Preston:Jordan Thompson 1763 −7
  11. 68'Wrexham:Issa Kabore 1969 +4 for Danny Imray 1926 +16
  12. 69'Preston:Delano Burgzorg 1877 −4 for Johnny Kenny 1844 −17*
  13. 70'Preston:Jusef Erabi 1766 −1 for Callum Lang 1807 −7
  14. 79'Preston:Ed Nolan 1614 −8* for Alfie Devine 1808 −22
  15. 80'Wrexham:Callum Doyle 2012 +15
  16. 80'Preston:Leo Leroy 1811 −9
  17. 81'Wrexham:George Dobson 1939 0 for Matty James 1847 +7*
  18. 81'Wrexham:B. Cadamarteri 1752 +3 for Kieffer Moore 1894 +53
  19. 81'Wrexham:Oliver Rathbone 1912 0 for Callum O'Hare 2004 +13
  20. 90'Wrexham:Lewis O'Brien 1945 −1 for Sam Smith 1961 +53

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations3-4-1-2
GA. Patterson2091+11
DJ. Worrall1961+53
DD. Hyam1954+16
DC. Doyle2012+15
MDaniel Edward Peter Imray1926+16
MM. James1847+7*
MB. Whiteman1948+54
MJ. Ekomié1920+21
MS. Smith1961+53
MC. O'Hare2004+13
FK. Moore1894+53
CP. Parkinson2009+30
GD. Iversen1851−12
DO. Offiah1784−6
DJ. Storey1809−10
DA. Hughes1726−7
ML. Lindsay1801−15*
ML. Leroy1811−9
MJ. Thompson1763−7
MA. Vukčević1634−2
MA. Devine1808−22
FC. Lang1807−7
FJ. Kenny1844−17*
CG. Alexander1838−22
Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 20%(Wrexham · draw · Preston)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 4–1 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Wrexham €2.7M, Preston €1.6M.
  • Wrexham were without 1 expected starter: J. Windass (1895).
  • Preston were without 2 expected starters: H. Clarke (1915) and S. Mills (1809).
  • Style contrast in discipline (Championship): Wrexham ranked #2 of 24, Preston #23.
  • Preston's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.2 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Wrexham

17th in Championship · 11 pts from 10

  • 13 OctLWest Brom 1947
  • 10 OctDDerby 1945
  • 19 SepWSouthampton 1923
  • 11 SepLWest Ham 1942
  • 8 SepDBurnley 1924

Preston

24th in Championship · 4 pts from 10

  • 13 OctLBirmingham 1826
  • 10 OctLMillwall 1815
  • 19 SepDQPR 1818
  • 12 SepLLincoln 1830
  • 8 SepLWatford 1839

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Wrexham11 /1058.40%1%8%16th
Preston4 /1039.90%0%88%24th
Wrexham
Preston

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

C. Doyle
C. Doyle

Wrexham · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1996

A. Devine
A. Devine

Preston · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1830

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Philip John Parkinson

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Graham Robert Alexander

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Wrexham: balanced profile (how Philip John Parkinson plays) · Preston: balanced profile (how Graham Robert Alexander plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.