Championship · Regular Season - 6
Wolves vs Portsmouth
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Wolves host Portsmouth on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Wolves 62%, draw 22%, Portsmouth 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wolves €7.2M, Portsmouth €1.5M.
- Wolves are without 2 expected starters: Rodrigo Gomes (2083) and A. Armstrong (2078).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Wolves goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.5 pts
Team Elo: Wolves 2107 · Portsmouth 1864
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; in for ruled-out starters: J. Bellegarde for Rodrigo Gomes, S. Neave for A. Armstrong.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wolves · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2171
Portsmouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1978
Absences
Wolves
Ruled out
- R. JiménezKnee Injury2136
- B. TraoréInjury2116
- Rodrigo GomesFoot Injury2083
- A. ArmstrongBack Injury2078
- B. TraoréInjury1596
Portsmouth
Ruled out
- J. MurphyGroin Injury1853
- C. OgilvieKnee Injury1839
- Benjamin ArthurBack Injury1743
- M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury1560
- T. WaddinghamAnkle Injury1352
- F. UmehHamstring Injury1343
- L. Brooke-SmithAnkle Injury1284
Doubtful
- C. ShaughnessyInjury1930
- K. AndersonOverload1914
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wolves
8th in Championship · 17 pts from 10
- 16 OctWBurnley England Championship1984
- 13 OctLBolton England Championship2104
- 10 OctLMiddlesbrough England Championship2123
- 20 SepWWest Brom England Championship2119
- 16 SepLEverton England League Cup1849
Portsmouth
13th in Championship · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctWNorwich England Championship1801
- 14 OctWSheffield Utd England Championship1748
- 11 OctLSouthampton England Championship1800
- 19 SepDBlackburn England Championship1782
- 12 SepDCharlton England Championship1838
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 17 /10 | 78.3 | 11% | 64% | 0% | 2nd |
| Portsmouth | 14 /10 | 53.5 | 0% | <1% | 23% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Wolves: balanced profile (how Paulo César da Silva Peixoto plays) · Portsmouth: balanced profile (how John Michael Lewis Mousinho plays)