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Championship · Regular Season - 10

Wolves 1–3 Bolton

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton

Wolves crestWolvesTeam 2042
1–3
Full time
HT 0–1
Bolton crestBoltonTeam 1918

Match story

Wolves · draw · Bolton

Before kick-off: 52% · 26% · 22%

Live chances: Wolves 0%, draw 0%, Bolton 100% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · Wolves 52%, draw 26%, Bolton 22%3' · 0–0 · Wolves 52%, draw 27%, Bolton 22%4' · 0–0 · Wolves 51%, draw 27%, Bolton 22%5' · 0–0 · Wolves 51%, draw 27%, Bolton 22%6' · 0–0 · Wolves 51%, draw 27%, Bolton 22%7' · 0–0 · Wolves 51%, draw 27%, Bolton 22%9' · 0–0 · Wolves 51%, draw 27%, Bolton 22%10' · 0–0 · Wolves 50%, draw 28%, Bolton 22%11' · 0–0 · Wolves 50%, draw 28%, Bolton 22%12' · 0–0 · Wolves 50%, draw 28%, Bolton 22%13' · 0–0 · Wolves 50%, draw 28%, Bolton 22%14' · 0–0 · Wolves 50%, draw 28%, Bolton 22%15' · 0–0 · Wolves 49%, draw 29%, Bolton 22%16' · 0–0 · Wolves 49%, draw 29%, Bolton 22%17' · 0–0 · Wolves 49%, draw 29%, Bolton 22%18' · 0–0 · Wolves 49%, draw 29%, Bolton 22%19' · 0–0 · Wolves 49%, draw 29%, Bolton 22%20' · 0–0 · Wolves 48%, draw 30%, Bolton 22%21' · 0–0 · Wolves 48%, draw 30%, Bolton 22%22' · 0–0 · Wolves 48%, draw 30%, Bolton 22%23' · 0–0 · Wolves 48%, draw 30%, Bolton 22%24' · 0–0 · Wolves 47%, draw 30%, Bolton 22%25' · 0–0 · Wolves 47%, draw 31%, Bolton 22%26' · 0–0 · Wolves 47%, draw 31%, Bolton 22%27' · 0–0 · Wolves 47%, draw 31%, Bolton 22%28' · 0–0 · Wolves 47%, draw 31%, Bolton 22%29' · 0–1 · Wolves 25%, draw 28%, Bolton 47%30' · 0–1 · Wolves 25%, draw 28%, Bolton 47%31' · 0–1 · Wolves 24%, draw 28%, Bolton 48%32' · 0–1 · Wolves 24%, draw 28%, Bolton 48%33' · 0–1 · Wolves 24%, draw 28%, Bolton 48%34' · 0–1 · Wolves 23%, draw 28%, Bolton 49%35' · 0–1 · Wolves 23%, draw 28%, Bolton 49%36' · 0–1 · Wolves 23%, draw 28%, Bolton 49%37' · 0–1 · Wolves 22%, draw 28%, Bolton 50%38' · 0–1 · Wolves 22%, draw 28%, Bolton 50%39' · 0–1 · Wolves 21%, draw 28%, Bolton 50%40' · 0–1 · Wolves 21%, draw 28%, Bolton 51%41' · 0–1 · Wolves 21%, draw 28%, Bolton 51%42' · 0–1 · Wolves 20%, draw 28%, Bolton 51%43' · 0–1 · Wolves 20%, draw 28%, Bolton 52%44' · 0–1 · Wolves 20%, draw 28%, Bolton 52%45' · 0–1 · Wolves 19%, draw 28%, Bolton 52%45+1' · 0–1 · Wolves 19%, draw 28%, Bolton 53%45+2' · 0–1 · Wolves 18%, draw 28%, Bolton 53%HT · 0–1 · Wolves 18%, draw 28%, Bolton 54%46' · 0–1 · Wolves 18%, draw 28%, Bolton 54%47' · 0–1 · Wolves 17%, draw 28%, Bolton 54%48' · 0–1 · Wolves 17%, draw 28%, Bolton 55%49' · 0–1 · Wolves 17%, draw 28%, Bolton 55%50' · 1–1 · Wolves 39%, draw 40%, Bolton 21%51' · 1–1 · Wolves 39%, draw 41%, Bolton 21%52' · 1–1 · Wolves 38%, draw 41%, Bolton 21%53' · 1–1 · Wolves 38%, draw 42%, Bolton 21%54' · 1–1 · Wolves 37%, draw 42%, Bolton 20%55' · 1–1 · Wolves 37%, draw 43%, Bolton 20%56' · 1–1 · Wolves 36%, draw 44%, Bolton 20%57' · 1–1 · Wolves 36%, draw 44%, Bolton 20%58' · 1–1 · Wolves 35%, draw 45%, Bolton 20%59' · 1–1 · Wolves 35%, draw 46%, Bolton 20%60' · 1–1 · Wolves 34%, draw 47%, Bolton 19%61' · 1–1 · Wolves 34%, draw 47%, Bolton 19%62' · 1–1 · Wolves 33%, draw 48%, Bolton 19%63' · 1–1 · Wolves 32%, draw 49%, Bolton 19%64' · 1–1 · Wolves 32%, draw 50%, Bolton 19%65' · 1–1 · Wolves 31%, draw 50%, Bolton 18%66' · 1–1 · Wolves 31%, draw 51%, Bolton 18%67' · 1–1 · Wolves 30%, draw 52%, Bolton 18%68' · 1–1 · Wolves 30%, draw 53%, Bolton 18%69' · 1–1 · Wolves 29%, draw 54%, Bolton 17%70' · 1–1 · Wolves 28%, draw 55%, Bolton 17%71' · 1–1 · Wolves 28%, draw 56%, Bolton 17%72' · 1–1 · Wolves 27%, draw 57%, Bolton 16%73' · 1–2 · Wolves 6%, draw 24%, Bolton 70%74' · 1–2 · Wolves 6%, draw 23%, Bolton 71%75' · 1–2 · Wolves 5%, draw 23%, Bolton 72%76' · 1–2 · Wolves 5%, draw 23%, Bolton 73%77' · 1–2 · Wolves 5%, draw 22%, Bolton 73%78' · 1–2 · Wolves 4%, draw 21%, Bolton 74%79' · 1–2 · Wolves 4%, draw 21%, Bolton 75%80' · 1–2 · Wolves 4%, draw 20%, Bolton 76%81' · 1–2 · Wolves 3%, draw 19%, Bolton 77%82' · 1–2 · Wolves 3%, draw 19%, Bolton 78%83' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 2%, Bolton 98%84' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 2%, Bolton 98%85' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 1%, Bolton 99%86' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 1%, Bolton 99%87' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 1%, Bolton 99%88' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 1%, Bolton 99%89' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 1%, Bolton 99%90' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 1%, Bolton 99%90+1' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 0%, Bolton 100%90+2' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 0%, Bolton 100%90+3' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 0%, Bolton 100%90+4' · 1–3 · Wolves 0%, draw 0%, Bolton 100%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Wolves 52% to win: Bolton won.

  1. 26'Wolves:Mateus Mane 1938 0
  2. 28'Bolton:Atsuki Ito 1956 +52
  3. 45+1'Bolton:Gaizka Larrazabal 1926 +27
  4. 50'Wolves:Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 2054 −16 assist Ladislav Krejčí 2074 −21
  5. 63'Wolves:Rafiki Said Ahamada 1896 0 for Mateus Mane 1938 0
  6. 63'Bolton:Jayden Nelson 1877 +9 for Samuel Iling 1887 +22
  7. 66'Bolton:Ruben Rodrigues 1854 +7 for Atsuki Ito 1956 +52
  8. 66'Bolton:Sam Dalby 1976 +15 for Thelonius Bair 1800 +30
  9. 72'Bolton:Sam Dalby 1976 +15 assist Gaizka Larrazabal 1926 +27
  10. 76'Bolton:Ethan Erhahon 1959 +21
  11. 78'Bolton:Xavier Simons 1852 −3* for Ethan Erhahon 1959 +21
  12. 78'Bolton:Max Conway 1947 +3 for Thierry Gale 1983 +19
  13. 80'Wolves:Marshall Munetsi 2120 −3 for Jordan James 2030 −2
  14. 80'Wolves:Ghislain Konan 2000 −10* for Hugo Bueno 2186 −15
  15. 82'Bolton:Josh Sheehan 1950 +77
  16. 85'Wolves:Sean Neave 963 0 for André 2164 −14
  17. 89'Wolves:Kieran Trippier 2110 −42
  18. 90+3'Wolves:Sean Neave 963 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GJosé Sá2155−16
DK. Trippier2110−42
DN. Djiga2108−10
DL. Krejčí2074−21
DHugo Bueno2186−15
MAndré2164−14
MJ. James2030−2
MJ. Bellegarde2054−16
MFer López2146−14
MM. Mane19380
FA. Armstrong2078−9
CCésar Peixoto2060−10
GG. Bazunu2033+17
DGaizka Larrazabal1926+27
DE. Toal2017+58
DL. Brunt1972+64*
DA. Famewo1912+21*
MJ. Sheehan1950+77
ME. Erhahon1959+21
MS. Iling-Junior1887+22
MA. Ito1956+52
MT. Gale1983+19
FT. Bair1800+30
CS. Schumacher1981+44
Before kick-off: 52% · 26% · 22%(Wolves · draw · Bolton)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–3 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Wolves €8.7M, Bolton €1.3M.
  • Style contrast in chance creation (Championship): Wolves ranked #23 of 24, Bolton #1.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Wolves

5th in Championship · 14 pts from 8

  • 10 OctLMiddlesbrough 2123
  • 20 SepWWest Brom 2119
  • 16 SepLEverton 1849
  • 13 SepWSheffield Utd 2102
  • 6 SepDBirmingham 2133

Bolton

17th in Championship · 10 pts from 9

  • 10 OctLStoke City 1912
  • 20 SepWNorwich 1870
  • 12 SepWCardiff 1850
  • 8 SepLWest Ham 1859
  • 5 SepLMillwall 1892

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Wolves14 /876.914%58%0%2nd
Bolton10 /954.20%1%20%21st
Wolves
Bolton

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

José Sá
José Sá

Wolves · +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 2171

T. Gale
T. Gale

Bolton · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1964

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Paulo César da Silva Peixoto

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Steven Schumacher

Coach DNA: creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Wolves: balanced profile (how Paulo César da Silva Peixoto plays) · Bolton: possession-based · creative (how Steven Schumacher plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.