Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsberg
Wolfsberger AC host Sturm Graz on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Wolfsberger AC 25%, draw 27%, Sturm Graz 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wolfsberger AC €573K, Sturm Graz €1.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Wolfsberger AC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Wolfsberger AC 1628 · Sturm Graz 1857
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wolfsberger AC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1696
Sturm Graz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1951
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wolfsberger AC
12th in Bundesliga · 5 pts from 9
- 18 OctLWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1580
- 11 OctLSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1665
- 20 SepLRied Austrian Bundesliga1622
- 12 SepLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1631
- 1 SepLLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1631
Sturm Graz
4th in Bundesliga · 17 pts from 9
- 18 OctWGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1869
- 15 OctLBournemouth UEFA Europa League1822
- 10 OctWAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1851
- 20 SepLRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1835
- 16 SepDRennes UEFA Europa League1832
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsberger AC | 5 /9 | 19.6 | 0% | 0% | 72% | 12th |
| Sturm Graz | 17 /9 | 40.0 | 6% | 91% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Wolfsberger AC: balanced profile (how Thomas Silberberger plays) · Sturm Graz: balanced profile (how Fabio Ingolitsch plays)