Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13
Wolfsberger AC vs Ried
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsberg
Wolfsberger AC host Ried on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Wolfsberger AC 43%, draw 28%, Ried 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wolfsberger AC €559K, Ried €407K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Wolfsberger AC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–07%
- 2–07%
- 1–27%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Wolfsberger AC 1611 · Ried 1593
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wolfsberger AC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1770
Ried · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1636
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wolfsberger AC
12th in Bundesliga · 6 pts from 12
- 6 NovLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1563
- 1 NovDSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1568
- 24 OctLTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1606
- 18 OctLWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1555
- 11 OctLSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1660
Ried
6th in Bundesliga · 16 pts from 12
- 7 NovLLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1606
- 31 OctDSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1598
- 25 OctDSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1591
- 17 OctWAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1576
- 10 OctWWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1558
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsberger AC | 6 /12 | 17.6 | 0% | 0% | 79% | 12th |
| Ried | 16 /12 | 27.2 | 0% | 2% | 4% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Wolfsberger AC: balanced profile (how Manfred Schmid plays) · Ried: balanced profile (how Mario Despotović plays)