Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 13
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Orlen Stadion
Wisla Plock host Piast Gliwice on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Wisla Plock 42%, draw 29%, Piast Gliwice 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wisla Plock €531K, Piast Gliwice €663K.
- Home advantage makes Wisla Plock the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Wisla Plock goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Wisla Plock 1659 · Piast Gliwice 1670
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wisla Plock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1843
Piast Gliwice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1661
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wisla Plock
13th in Ekstraklasa · 11 pts from 9
- 9 OctLWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1679
- 20 SepWZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1665
- 13 SepWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1630
- 7 SepDPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1642
- 28 AugLKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1633
Piast Gliwice
8th in Ekstraklasa · 17 pts from 11
- 18 OctDGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1694
- 11 OctWWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1698
- 20 SepLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1690
- 14 SepWRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1665
- 4 SepWGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1639
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Plock | 11 /9 | 41.1 | 0% | 2% | 20% | 14th |
| Piast Gliwice | 17 /11 | 45.4 | <1% | 5% | 5% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Wisla Plock: balanced profile (how Adam Marcin Majewski plays) · Piast Gliwice: balanced profile (how Daniel Myśliwiec plays)