Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15
Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Orlen Stadion
Wisla Plock host Legia Warszawa on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Wisla Plock 34%, draw 29%, Legia Warszawa 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wisla Plock €536K, Legia Warszawa €773K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Ekstraklasa): Wisla Plock rank #20 of 20, Legia Warszawa #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Wisla Plock goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Wisla Plock 1660 · Legia Warszawa 1779
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wisla Plock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1788
Legia Warszawa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1875
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wisla Plock
12th in Ekstraklasa · 15 pts from 13
- 6 NovLMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1666
- 31 OctDPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1633
- 25 OctLJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1706
- 19 OctWRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1686
- 9 OctLWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1671
Legia Warszawa
3rd in Ekstraklasa · 24 pts from 14
- 8 NovLRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1811
- 30 OctDGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1775
- 25 OctLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1806
- 17 OctDCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1808
- 11 OctWWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1781
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Plock | 15 /13 | 40.5 | 0% | 1% | 20% | 14th |
| Legia Warszawa | 24 /14 | 54.0 | 1% | 48% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Wisla Plock: balanced profile (how A. Majewski plays) · Legia Warszawa: balanced profile (how Marek Papszun plays)