Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12
Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Wisla Krakow host Raków Częstochowa on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Wisla Krakow 40%, draw 29%, Raków Częstochowa 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wisla Krakow €545K, Raków Częstochowa €1.0M.
- Home advantage makes Wisla Krakow the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Wisla Krakow goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Wisla Krakow 1685 · Raków Częstochowa 1727
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wisla Krakow · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1777
Raków Częstochowa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1791
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wisla Krakow
6th in Ekstraklasa · 18 pts from 11
- 16 OctDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1660
- 11 OctLLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1677
- 18 SepWSlask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa1664
- 11 SepWJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1602
- 5 SepDKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1620
Raków Częstochowa
18th in Ekstraklasa · 6 pts from 11
- 16 OctWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1728
- 9 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1741
- 19 SepLKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1755
- 15 SepLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1778
- 11 SepWMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1767
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow | 18 /11 | 46.9 | <1% | 7% | 3% | 7th |
| Raków Częstochowa | 6 /11 | 36.6 | 0% | <1% | 43% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile