Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10
Willem II vs Cambuur
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Willem II host Cambuur on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Willem II 38%, draw 29%, Cambuur 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Willem II €799K, Cambuur €776K.
- Home advantage makes Willem II the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Cambuur are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Willem II goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Willem II 1701 · Cambuur 1741
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Willem II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1768
Cambuur · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1949
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Willem II
18th in Eredivisie · 2 pts from 9
- 17 OctLSparta Rotterdam Eredivisie1716
- 11 OctLUtrecht Eredivisie1744
- 19 SepLFortuna Sittard Eredivisie1741
- 15 SepLAjax Eredivisie1753
- 11 SepDAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie1739
Cambuur
14th in Eredivisie · 9 pts from 9
- 18 OctDAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie1774
- 11 OctWPEC Zwolle Eredivisie1739
- 19 SepDADO Den Haag Eredivisie1726
- 12 SepWNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1675
- 6 SepDTelstar Eredivisie1702
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 2 /9 | 27.3 | 0% | 0% | 80% | 18th |
| Cambuur | 9 /9 | 35.8 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Willem II: balanced profile (how John Stegeman plays) · Cambuur: balanced profile (how Johan Plat plays)