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League One · Regular Season - 11

Wigan 1–0 Reading

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · DW Stadium, Wigan

Wigan crestWiganTeam 1585
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Reading crestReadingTeam 1796

Match story

Wigan · draw · Reading

Before kick-off: 27% · 28% · 45%

Live chances: Wigan 97%, draw 3%, Reading 0% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 28%, Reading 45%3' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 28%, Reading 45%4' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 28%, Reading 45%5' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 28%, Reading 45%6' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 28%, Reading 45%7' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 29%, Reading 45%8' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 29%, Reading 45%9' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 29%, Reading 44%10' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 29%, Reading 44%11' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 29%, Reading 44%12' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 29%, Reading 44%13' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 29%, Reading 44%14' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 29%, Reading 44%16' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 30%, Reading 43%17' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 30%, Reading 43%18' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 30%, Reading 43%19' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 30%, Reading 43%20' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 30%, Reading 43%21' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 31%, Reading 43%22' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 31%, Reading 43%23' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 31%, Reading 42%24' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 31%, Reading 42%25' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 31%, Reading 42%26' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 31%, Reading 42%27' · 0–0 · Wigan 27%, draw 32%, Reading 42%28' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 32%, Reading 42%29' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 32%, Reading 42%31' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 32%, Reading 41%32' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 33%, Reading 41%33' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 33%, Reading 41%34' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 33%, Reading 41%35' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 33%, Reading 40%36' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 34%, Reading 40%37' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 34%, Reading 40%38' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 34%, Reading 40%39' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 34%, Reading 40%40' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 35%, Reading 39%41' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 35%, Reading 39%42' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 35%, Reading 39%43' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 36%, Reading 39%45' · 0–0 · Wigan 26%, draw 36%, Reading 38%45+1' · 0–0 · Wigan 25%, draw 37%, Reading 38%45+2' · 0–0 · Wigan 25%, draw 37%, Reading 38%HT · 0–0 · Wigan 25%, draw 37%, Reading 37%47' · 0–0 · Wigan 25%, draw 38%, Reading 37%48' · 0–0 · Wigan 25%, draw 38%, Reading 37%49' · 0–0 · Wigan 25%, draw 39%, Reading 37%50' · 0–0 · Wigan 25%, draw 39%, Reading 36%51' · 0–0 · Wigan 25%, draw 40%, Reading 36%52' · 0–0 · Wigan 24%, draw 40%, Reading 36%53' · 0–0 · Wigan 24%, draw 41%, Reading 35%54' · 0–0 · Wigan 24%, draw 41%, Reading 35%55' · 0–0 · Wigan 24%, draw 42%, Reading 34%56' · 0–0 · Wigan 24%, draw 42%, Reading 34%57' · 0–0 · Wigan 24%, draw 43%, Reading 33%58' · 0–0 · Wigan 23%, draw 44%, Reading 33%59' · 0–0 · Wigan 23%, draw 44%, Reading 33%60' · 0–0 · Wigan 23%, draw 45%, Reading 32%61' · 0–0 · Wigan 23%, draw 46%, Reading 32%62' · 0–0 · Wigan 22%, draw 46%, Reading 31%63' · 0–0 · Wigan 22%, draw 47%, Reading 31%64' · 0–0 · Wigan 22%, draw 48%, Reading 30%65' · 0–0 · Wigan 22%, draw 48%, Reading 30%66' · 0–0 · Wigan 21%, draw 49%, Reading 29%67' · 0–0 · Wigan 21%, draw 50%, Reading 29%68' · 0–0 · Wigan 21%, draw 51%, Reading 29%69' · 0–0 · Wigan 20%, draw 52%, Reading 28%70' · 0–0 · Wigan 20%, draw 53%, Reading 27%71' · 1–0 · Wigan 72%, draw 23%, Reading 6%72' · 1–0 · Wigan 72%, draw 22%, Reading 5%73' · 1–0 · Wigan 73%, draw 22%, Reading 5%74' · 1–0 · Wigan 74%, draw 22%, Reading 5%75' · 1–0 · Wigan 74%, draw 21%, Reading 4%76' · 1–0 · Wigan 75%, draw 21%, Reading 4%77' · 1–0 · Wigan 76%, draw 20%, Reading 4%78' · 1–0 · Wigan 77%, draw 20%, Reading 4%79' · 1–0 · Wigan 78%, draw 19%, Reading 3%80' · 1–0 · Wigan 78%, draw 19%, Reading 3%81' · 1–0 · Wigan 79%, draw 18%, Reading 3%82' · 1–0 · Wigan 80%, draw 17%, Reading 2%83' · 1–0 · Wigan 81%, draw 17%, Reading 2%84' · 1–0 · Wigan 82%, draw 16%, Reading 2%85' · 1–0 · Wigan 83%, draw 15%, Reading 2%86' · 1–0 · Wigan 84%, draw 14%, Reading 1%87' · 1–0 · Wigan 85%, draw 13%, Reading 1%88' · 1–0 · Wigan 87%, draw 12%, Reading 1%89' · 1–0 · Wigan 88%, draw 11%, Reading 1%90' · 1–0 · Wigan 89%, draw 10%, Reading 1%90+1' · 1–0 · Wigan 91%, draw 9%, Reading 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Wigan 92%, draw 8%, Reading 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Wigan 94%, draw 6%, Reading 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Wigan 95%, draw 4%, Reading 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Wigan 97%, draw 3%, Reading 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Reading 45% to win: Wigan won.

  1. 23'Reading:Andy Rinomhota 1794 −8
  2. 52'Wigan:Charlie Gray 1218 +65
  3. 67'Wigan:Christian Saydee 1714 −3* for Reggie Walsh 1830 +8
  4. 71'Wigan:Scott Hogan 1549 +78
  5. 74'Wigan:James Carragher 1754 +17
  6. 74'Reading:Haydon Roberts 1810 −7
  7. 77'Reading:Jacob Brown 1767 −2 for Jamie Reid 1726 −4
  8. 77'Reading:Charlie Savage 1749 0 for Andy Rinomhota 1794 −8
  9. 78'Wigan:Sonny Tufail Perkins 1678 +8 for Scott Hogan 1549 +78
  10. 78'Wigan:Jon Mellish 1760 +1 for Bradley Burrowes 1401 +122
  11. 82'Reading:Randell Williams 1803 −3 for Haydon Roberts 1810 −7
  12. 85'Wigan:Fraser Murray 1771 0 for Connor Barrett 1752 +16

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Whitworth1747+52
DF. Burns1808+39
DJ. Carragher1754+17
DJ. Chilokoa-Mullen1554+38
MC. Barrett1752+16
MJ. Weir1804+13
MCharlie Gray1218+65
MArchie Harris1835+33
MB. Burrows1401+122
MR. Walsh1830+8
FS. Hogan1549+78
CG. Caldwell1789+28
GJoel Pereira1869−14
DU. Godwin-Malife1852−36
DP. O'Connor1864−14
DJ. Dorsett1790−6
DH. Roberts1810−7
ML. Wing1795−25
MA. Rinomhota1794−8
MKyreece Lisbie16390
MJ. Stokes1865−13
MP. Lane1869−13
FJ. Reid1726−4
CL. Richardson1778−10
Before kick-off: 27% · 28% · 45%(Wigan · draw · Reading)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Wigan €386K, Reading €511K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Wigan

24th in League One · 4 pts from 8

  • 10 OctLStevenage 1615
  • 22 SepWBlackpool 1655
  • 19 SepLWycombe 1706
  • 12 SepDSheffield Wednesday 1697
  • 5 SepLStockport County 1711

Reading

6th in League One · 15 pts from 9

  • 13 OctLChelsea U21 1723
  • 10 OctWMilton Keynes Dons 1784
  • 3 OctDBradford 1804
  • 26 SepDWycombe 1799
  • 19 SepWNotts County 1785

Season outlook

From the League One simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Wigan4 /849.20%<1%46%24th
Reading15 /968.66%32%1%5th
Wigan
Reading

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League One

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Carragher
J. Carragher

Wigan · -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1737

P. O'Connor
P. O'Connor

Reading · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1879

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gary Robert Caldwell

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Leam Nathan Richardson

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Wigan: balanced profile (how Gary Robert Caldwell plays) · Reading: balanced profile (how Leam Nathan Richardson plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.