League One · Regular Season - 9
Wigan vs Mansfield Town
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · DW Stadium, Wigan
Wigan host Mansfield Town on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Wigan 34%, draw 29%, Mansfield Town 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wigan €361K, Mansfield Town €442K.
- All 11 of Mansfield Town's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Wigan goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Wigan 1699 · Mansfield Town 1809
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wigan · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1764
Mansfield Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1690
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wigan
21st in League One · 10 pts from 13
- 31 OctWBromley England League One1635
- 27 OctLLeicester England League One1653
- 24 OctLHuddersfield England League One1722
- 20 OctLOxford United England League One1649
- 17 OctWReading England League One1609
Mansfield Town
12th in League One · 18 pts from 12
- 31 OctLNotts County England League One1826
- 24 OctWBlackpool England League One1810
- 20 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1784
- 15 OctDOxford United England League One1792
- 10 OctWBromley England League One1770
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 10 /13 | 46.6 | 0% | 0% | 49% | 24th |
| Mansfield Town | 18 /12 | 62.0 | 1% | 5% | 1% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Wigan: balanced profile (how G. Caldwell plays) · Mansfield Town: balanced profile (how N. Clough plays)