Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10
Wieczysta Kraków 3–0 Wisla Plock
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow
Wieczysta KrakówTeam 1638Wisla PlockTeam 1635We gave Wieczysta Kraków 43% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 43% · 29% · 28%(Wieczysta Kraków · draw · Wisla Plock)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–0 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Wieczysta Kraków €574K, Wisla Plock €456K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wieczysta Kraków
17th in Ekstraklasa · 5 pts from 8
- 18 SepDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1657
- 13 SepLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1662
- 7 SepDZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1686
- 29 AugLWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1694
- 21 AugLCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1650
Wisla Plock
11th in Ekstraklasa · 11 pts from 8
- 20 SepWZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1665
- 13 SepWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1630
- 7 SepDPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1642
- 28 AugLKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1633
- 23 AugLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1644
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Kraków | 5 /8 | 38.3 | 0% | 1% | 33% | 16th |
| Wisla Plock | 11 /8 | 43.4 | 0% | 4% | 11% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wieczysta Kraków · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1677
Wisla Plock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1647
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.