Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11
Wieczysta Kraków 1–2 Raków Częstochowa
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Wieczysta KrakówTeam 1663
Raków CzęstochowaTeam 1689Match story
Wieczysta Kraków · draw · Raków CzęstochowaBefore kick-off: 41% · 29% · 30%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 3% · 97%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Lisandro Semedo 69'
- Lamine Diaby Fadiga 79' (pen)
- Lamine Diaby Fadiga 88'
We gave Wieczysta Kraków 41% to win: Raków Częstochowa won.
- 32'Bogdan Racovitan 1788 +12
Raków Częstochowa:Bogdan Racovitan 1788 +12 - 56'Stratos Svarnas 1791 +11
Raków Częstochowa:Stratos Svarnas 1791 +11 - Lisandro Semedo 1530 −2 for José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido 1666 −259'
Wieczysta Kraków:Lisandro Semedo 1530 −2 for José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido 1666 −2 - 62'Lamine Diaby Fadiga 1702 +15 for Isak Brusberg 1594 +18
Raków Częstochowa:Lamine Diaby Fadiga 1702 +15 for Isak Brusberg 1594 +18 - 62'Jean Carlos 1718 +3 for Tomasz Pienko 1792 0*
Raków Częstochowa:Jean Carlos 1718 +3 for Tomasz Pienko 1792 0* - Duje Dujmovic 1591 063'
Wieczysta Kraków:Duje Dujmovic 1591 0 - Antonio Milic 1773 −1565'
Wieczysta Kraków:Antonio Milic 1773 −15 - Kamil Pestka 1624 −167'
Wieczysta Kraków:Kamil Pestka 1624 −1 - Lisandro Semedo 1530 −2 assist Efthymios Koulouris 1686 −1369'
Wieczysta Kraków:Lisandro Semedo 1530 −2 assist Efthymios Koulouris 1686 −13 - 79'Lamine Diaby Fadiga 1702 +15 (pen.)
Raków Częstochowa:Lamine Diaby Fadiga 1702 +15 (pen.) - Matúš Vojtko 1698 −1 for Kamil Pestka 1624 −179'
Wieczysta Kraków:Matúš Vojtko 1698 −1 for Kamil Pestka 1624 −1 - Christophe Lungoyi 1773 −9* for Efthymios Koulouris 1686 −1379'
Wieczysta Kraków:Christophe Lungoyi 1773 −9* for Efthymios Koulouris 1686 −13 - 87'Adam Basse 1384 +4 for Mahir Emreli 1754 +13
Raków Częstochowa:Adam Basse 1384 +4 for Mahir Emreli 1754 +13 - Bartosz Bialek 1637 0 for Lucas Piazón 1650 −687'
Wieczysta Kraków:Bartosz Bialek 1637 0 for Lucas Piazón 1650 −6 - Kamil Dankowski 1576 −2 for Karol Fila 1600 −187'
Wieczysta Kraków:Kamil Dankowski 1576 −2 for Karol Fila 1600 −1 - 88'Lamine Diaby Fadiga 1702 +15 assist Patryk Makuch 1761 +42
Raków Częstochowa:Lamine Diaby Fadiga 1702 +15 assist Patryk Makuch 1761 +42 - 90+1'Nils Zätterström 1711 −7* for Erick Otieno 1756 +31*
Raków Częstochowa:Nils Zätterström 1711 −7* for Erick Otieno 1756 +31* - 90+1'Arvid Brorsson 1653 0 for Patryk Makuch 1761 +42
Raków Częstochowa:Arvid Brorsson 1653 0 for Patryk Makuch 1761 +42
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 41% · 29% · 30%(Wieczysta Kraków · draw · Raków Częstochowa)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Wieczysta Kraków €550K, Raków Częstochowa €981K.
- Home advantage made Wieczysta Kraków the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wieczysta Kraków
15th in Ekstraklasa · 8 pts from 10
- 12 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1675
- 9 OctWWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1666
- 18 SepDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1657
- 13 SepLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1662
- 7 SepDZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1686
Raków Częstochowa
18th in Ekstraklasa · 3 pts from 10
- 9 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1741
- 19 SepLKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1755
- 15 SepLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1778
- 11 SepWMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1767
- 6 SepLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1733
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Kraków | 8 /10 | 38.8 | 0% | 1% | 27% | 16th |
| Raków Częstochowa | 3 /10 | 34.5 | 0% | <1% | 55% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Wieczysta Kraków · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1700

Raków Częstochowa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1742
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.