Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 13
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Wieczysta Kraków host Jagiellonia on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Wieczysta Kraków 36%, draw 29%, Jagiellonia 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wieczysta Kraków €582K, Jagiellonia €1.1M.
- Home advantage makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Wieczysta Kraków goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Wieczysta Kraków 1690 · Jagiellonia 1785
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Wieczysta Kraków · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 1689
Jagiellonia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1840
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wieczysta Kraków
15th in Ekstraklasa · 8 pts from 11
- 16 OctLRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1686
- 12 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1675
- 9 OctWWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1666
- 18 SepDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1657
- 13 SepLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1662
Jagiellonia
12th in Ekstraklasa · 12 pts from 10
- 18 OctLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1817
- 15 OctWArarat-Armenia UEFA Europa League1801
- 10 OctLGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1812
- 20 SepLLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1811
- 16 SepLOlympiakos Piraeus UEFA Europa League1861
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Kraków | 8 /11 | 37.5 | 0% | <1% | 36% | 16th |
| Jagiellonia | 12 /10 | 48.0 | <1% | 12% | 2% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: possession-based