Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 14
Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Widzew Łódź host Pogon Szczecin on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Widzew Łódź 39%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Widzew Łódź €1.4M, Pogon Szczecin €1.2M.
- Home advantage makes Widzew Łódź the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Ekstraklasa: V. Cojocaru is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2091).
- Style contrast in attacking (Ekstraklasa): Widzew Łódź rank #17 of 19, Pogon Szczecin #1.
- Pogon Szczecin are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Widzew Łódź goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Widzew Łódź 1814 · Pogon Szczecin 1865
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Widzew Łódź · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1821
Pogon Szczecin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2091
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Widzew Łódź
14th in Ekstraklasa · 10 pts from 11
- 16 OctDWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1816
- 11 OctLPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1832
- 18 SepDWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1823
- 13 SepDLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1821
- 5 SepDRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1829
Pogon Szczecin
4th in Ekstraklasa · 21 pts from 10
- 17 OctWGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1883
- 11 OctWKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1857
- 20 SepWPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1818
- 13 SepWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1764
- 7 SepDWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1766
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź | 10 /11 | 44.7 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 9th |
| Pogon Szczecin | 21 /10 | 59.9 | 9% | 79% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Widzew Łódź: balanced profile (how Mateusz Stolarski plays) · Pogon Szczecin: balanced profile (how Óscar García plays)