Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12
Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Widzew Łódź host Gornik Zabrze on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Widzew Łódź 37%, draw 29%, Gornik Zabrze 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Widzew Łódź €1.4M, Gornik Zabrze €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes Widzew Łódź the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Ekstraklasa): Widzew Łódź rank #17 of 19, Gornik Zabrze #3.
- Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Widzew Łódź goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Widzew Łódź 1814 · Gornik Zabrze 1887
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Widzew Łódź · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1821
Gornik Zabrze · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1950
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Widzew Łódź
14th in Ekstraklasa · 10 pts from 11
- 16 OctDWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1816
- 11 OctLPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1832
- 18 SepDWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1823
- 13 SepDLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1821
- 5 SepDRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1829
Gornik Zabrze
1st in Ekstraklasa · 26 pts from 11
- 18 OctDPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1910
- 10 OctWJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1862
- 19 SepDMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1883
- 15 SepWKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1872
- 12 SepWLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1860
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź | 10 /11 | 45.0 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 9th |
| Gornik Zabrze | 26 /11 | 65.4 | 28% | 96% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Widzew Łódź: balanced profile (how Mateusz Stolarski plays) · Gornik Zabrze: possession-based (how Michal Gašparík plays)