A-League · Regular Season - 5
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 08:40 UTC · CommBank Stadium, Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers host Adelaide United on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (A-League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Western Sydney Wanderers 46%, draw 28%, Adelaide United 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Western Sydney Wanderers €454K, Adelaide United €366K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Western Sydney Wanderers goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
Team Elo: Western Sydney Wanderers 1619 · Adelaide United 1524
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 3 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Western Sydney Wanderers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1526
Adelaide United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1588
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Western Sydney Wanderers
2nd in A-League · 5 pts from 3
- 31 OctWMacarthur A-League1591
- 24 OctWAuckland A-League1554
- 16 OctDSydney A-League1574
- 25 AprLMelbourne Victory A-League1562
- 18 AprLWellington Phoenix A-League1568
Adelaide United
12th in A-League · 0 pts from 2
- 5 NovLHome United AFC Cup1546
- 1 NovLPerth Glory A-League1522
- 29 OctLHome United AFC Cup1543
- 25 OctLSydney A-League1557
- 15 OctWBG Pathum United AFC Cup1569
Season outlook
From the A-League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 /3 | 38.5 | 12% | 50% | 8% | 2nd |
| Adelaide United | 0 /2 | 29.0 | 1% | 7% | 58% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Western Sydney Wanderers: balanced profile (how Ufuk Talay plays) · Adelaide United: balanced profile (how Airton Andrioli plays)