Championship · Regular Season - 12
West Ham vs Southampton
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · London Stadium, London
West Ham host Southampton on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: West Ham 47%, draw 28%, Southampton 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: West Ham €11.7M, Southampton €5.3M.
- Championship: M. Hermansen is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2281).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. West Ham goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: West Ham 2188 · Southampton 2123
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
West Ham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2401
Southampton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2036
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
West Ham
2nd in Championship · 22 pts from 11
- 17 OctWSwansea England Championship2153
- 14 OctWLincoln England Championship2170
- 9 OctDQPR England Championship2211
- 19 SepDMillwall England Championship2209
- 15 SepLFulham England League Cup1979
Southampton
7th in Championship · 17 pts from 11
- 17 OctDBolton England Championship2111
- 14 OctWNorwich England Championship2077
- 11 OctWPortsmouth England Championship2116
- 19 SepLWrexham England Championship2168
- 12 SepWBristol City England Championship2154
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 22 /11 | 87.3 | 60% | 94% | 0% | 1st |
| Southampton | 17 /11 | 76.5 | 9% | 56% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
West Ham: balanced profile (how Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo plays) · Southampton: possession-based (how Tonda Eckert plays)