Championship · Regular Season - 9
West Ham 1–1 QPR
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · London Stadium, London
West HamTeam 2186QPRTeam 1888We gave West Ham 67% to win: it ended in a draw.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 67% · 20% · 13%(West Ham · draw · QPR)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 1–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: West Ham €12.7M, QPR €2.5M.
- QPR were without 1 expected starter: D. Cirkin (1984).
- Championship: M. Hermansen was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2249).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
West Ham
2nd in Championship · 15 pts from 8
- 19 SepDMillwall England Championship2209
- 15 SepLFulham England League Cup1979
- 11 SepWWrexham England Championship2202
- 8 SepWBolton England Championship2038
- 5 SepWDerby England Championship2148
QPR
6th in Championship · 13 pts from 8
- 19 SepDPreston England Championship1943
- 12 SepDWest Brom England Championship1921
- 9 SepDCharlton England Championship1873
- 5 SepLMiddlesbrough England Championship1929
- 29 AugWBlackburn England Championship1911
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 15 /8 | 82.7 | 45% | 86% | 0% | 1st |
| QPR | 13 /8 | 60.2 | <1% | 4% | 6% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
West Ham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2393
QPR · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 2099
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
West Ham: balanced profile (how Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo plays) · QPR: balanced profile (how Julien Stéphan plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.