Championship · Regular Season - 16
West Ham vs Preston
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · London Stadium, London
West Ham host Preston on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: West Ham 67%, draw 20%, Preston 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: West Ham €11.6M, Preston €1.9M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Championship matchday 16: 314 points.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Championship average of 27% this round.
- Championship: M. Hermansen is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2242).
- Preston's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. West Ham goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–0expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.8 pts
Team Elo: West Ham 2108 · Preston 1794
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
West Ham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2360
Preston · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1814
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
West Ham
9th in Championship · 23 pts from 15
- 7 NovLBlackburn England Championship2050
- 4 NovDCardiff England Championship2197
- 31 OctLWest Brom England Championship2082
- 24 OctLSouthampton England Championship2187
- 17 OctWSwansea England Championship2154
Preston
24th in Championship · 8 pts from 15
- 7 NovWSouthampton England Championship1768
- 3 NovLSheffield Utd England Championship1777
- 31 OctLStoke City England Championship1779
- 24 OctDWest Brom England Championship1781
- 17 OctLWrexham England Championship1792
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 23 /15 | 74.7 | 8% | 39% | 0% | 6th |
| Preston | 8 /15 | 37.2 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
West Ham: balanced profile (how S. Parker plays) · Preston: balanced profile (how G. Alexander plays)