Championship · Regular Season - 14
West Brom vs Southampton
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
West Brom host Southampton on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: West Brom 30%, draw 29%, Southampton 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: West Brom €3.5M, Southampton €5.3M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. West Brom goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: West Brom 1962 · Southampton 2123
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
West Brom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2073
Southampton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2036
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
West Brom
5th in Championship · 20 pts from 11
- 17 OctWBlackburn England Championship1927
- 13 OctWWrexham England Championship1876
- 10 OctLBirmingham England Championship1891
- 20 SepLWolves England Championship1952
- 12 SepDQPR England Championship1902
Southampton
7th in Championship · 17 pts from 11
- 17 OctDBolton England Championship2111
- 14 OctWNorwich England Championship2077
- 11 OctWPortsmouth England Championship2116
- 19 SepLWrexham England Championship2168
- 12 SepWBristol City England Championship2154
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 20 /11 | 66.7 | 1% | 11% | 1% | 9th |
| Southampton | 17 /11 | 76.5 | 9% | 56% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
West Brom: balanced profile (how James Morrison plays) · Southampton: possession-based (how Tonda Eckert plays)