Championship · Regular Season - 15
West Brom vs Millwall
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
West Brom host Millwall on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: West Brom 40%, draw 29%, Millwall 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: West Brom €3.4M, Millwall €3.1M.
- Home advantage makes West Brom the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Championship): West Brom rank #24 of 24, Millwall #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. West Brom goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: West Brom 1962 · Millwall 1988
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
West Brom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2073
Millwall · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2116
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
West Brom
5th in Championship · 20 pts from 11
- 17 OctWBlackburn England Championship1927
- 13 OctWWrexham England Championship1876
- 10 OctLBirmingham England Championship1891
- 20 SepLWolves England Championship1952
- 12 SepDQPR England Championship1902
Millwall
12th in Championship · 15 pts from 11
- 17 OctDLincoln England Championship1996
- 13 OctLSwansea England Championship1992
- 10 OctWPreston England Championship1978
- 19 SepDWest Ham England Championship1990
- 15 SepDMiddlesbrough England Championship1998
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 20 /11 | 66.7 | 1% | 12% | 1% | 8th |
| Millwall | 15 /11 | 63.6 | <1% | 6% | 2% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
West Brom: balanced profile (how James Morrison plays) · Millwall: direct · high-pressing (how A. Neil plays)