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Championship · Regular Season - 11

West Brom 3–2 Blackburn

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · The Hawthorns, West Bromwich

West Brom crestWest BromTeam 1936
3–2
Full time
HT 1–2
Blackburn crestBlackburnTeam 1901

Match story

West Brom · draw · Blackburn

Before kick-off: 43% · 31% · 26%

Live chances: West Brom 97%, draw 3%, Blackburn 0% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · West Brom 43%, draw 31%, Blackburn 26%3' · 0–0 · West Brom 43%, draw 31%, Blackburn 26%4' · 0–0 · West Brom 42%, draw 31%, Blackburn 26%5' · 0–0 · West Brom 42%, draw 31%, Blackburn 26%6' · 0–0 · West Brom 42%, draw 32%, Blackburn 26%7' · 0–1 · West Brom 25%, draw 28%, Blackburn 47%8' · 0–1 · West Brom 25%, draw 28%, Blackburn 47%9' · 0–1 · West Brom 24%, draw 28%, Blackburn 47%10' · 0–1 · West Brom 24%, draw 29%, Blackburn 47%11' · 0–1 · West Brom 24%, draw 29%, Blackburn 47%12' · 0–2 · West Brom 7%, draw 15%, Blackburn 78%13' · 0–2 · West Brom 7%, draw 15%, Blackburn 78%15' · 0–2 · West Brom 7%, draw 15%, Blackburn 79%16' · 0–2 · West Brom 6%, draw 15%, Blackburn 79%17' · 0–2 · West Brom 6%, draw 15%, Blackburn 79%18' · 0–2 · West Brom 6%, draw 15%, Blackburn 79%19' · 0–2 · West Brom 6%, draw 15%, Blackburn 79%20' · 0–2 · West Brom 6%, draw 14%, Blackburn 80%21' · 1–2 · West Brom 22%, draw 29%, Blackburn 49%22' · 1–2 · West Brom 22%, draw 29%, Blackburn 50%23' · 1–2 · West Brom 21%, draw 29%, Blackburn 50%24' · 1–2 · West Brom 21%, draw 29%, Blackburn 50%25' · 1–2 · West Brom 21%, draw 29%, Blackburn 50%26' · 1–2 · West Brom 21%, draw 29%, Blackburn 51%27' · 1–2 · West Brom 20%, draw 29%, Blackburn 51%28' · 1–2 · West Brom 20%, draw 29%, Blackburn 51%30' · 1–2 · West Brom 20%, draw 29%, Blackburn 51%31' · 1–2 · West Brom 19%, draw 29%, Blackburn 52%32' · 1–2 · West Brom 19%, draw 29%, Blackburn 52%33' · 1–2 · West Brom 19%, draw 29%, Blackburn 52%34' · 1–2 · West Brom 19%, draw 29%, Blackburn 52%35' · 1–2 · West Brom 18%, draw 29%, Blackburn 53%36' · 1–2 · West Brom 18%, draw 29%, Blackburn 53%37' · 1–2 · West Brom 18%, draw 29%, Blackburn 53%38' · 1–2 · West Brom 17%, draw 29%, Blackburn 54%39' · 1–2 · West Brom 17%, draw 29%, Blackburn 54%40' · 1–2 · West Brom 17%, draw 29%, Blackburn 54%41' · 1–2 · West Brom 17%, draw 29%, Blackburn 54%42' · 1–2 · West Brom 16%, draw 29%, Blackburn 55%44' · 1–2 · West Brom 16%, draw 29%, Blackburn 55%45' · 1–2 · West Brom 16%, draw 29%, Blackburn 56%45+1' · 1–2 · West Brom 15%, draw 29%, Blackburn 56%45+2' · 1–2 · West Brom 15%, draw 29%, Blackburn 56%45+3' · 1–2 · West Brom 15%, draw 29%, Blackburn 57%45+4' · 1–2 · West Brom 14%, draw 29%, Blackburn 57%45+5' · 1–2 · West Brom 14%, draw 29%, Blackburn 57%45+6' · 1–2 · West Brom 14%, draw 29%, Blackburn 57%HT · 1–2 · West Brom 14%, draw 29%, Blackburn 57%47' · 1–2 · West Brom 14%, draw 29%, Blackburn 57%48' · 1–2 · West Brom 14%, draw 29%, Blackburn 58%49' · 1–2 · West Brom 13%, draw 28%, Blackburn 58%50' · 1–2 · West Brom 13%, draw 28%, Blackburn 58%51' · 1–2 · West Brom 13%, draw 28%, Blackburn 59%52' · 1–2 · West Brom 12%, draw 28%, Blackburn 59%53' · 1–2 · West Brom 12%, draw 28%, Blackburn 60%54' · 1–2 · West Brom 12%, draw 28%, Blackburn 60%55' · 1–2 · West Brom 11%, draw 28%, Blackburn 61%56' · 1–2 · West Brom 11%, draw 28%, Blackburn 61%57' · 1–2 · West Brom 11%, draw 28%, Blackburn 62%58' · 1–2 · West Brom 10%, draw 27%, Blackburn 62%59' · 1–2 · West Brom 10%, draw 27%, Blackburn 63%60' · 1–2 · West Brom 9%, draw 27%, Blackburn 64%61' · 1–2 · West Brom 9%, draw 27%, Blackburn 64%62' · 1–2 · West Brom 9%, draw 27%, Blackburn 65%63' · 1–2 · West Brom 8%, draw 26%, Blackburn 65%64' · 1–2 · West Brom 8%, draw 26%, Blackburn 66%66' · 1–2 · West Brom 7%, draw 26%, Blackburn 67%67' · 1–2 · West Brom 7%, draw 25%, Blackburn 68%68' · 1–2 · West Brom 7%, draw 25%, Blackburn 68%69' · 1–2 · West Brom 6%, draw 25%, Blackburn 69%70' · 1–2 · West Brom 6%, draw 24%, Blackburn 70%71' · 1–2 · West Brom 6%, draw 24%, Blackburn 70%72' · 1–2 · West Brom 5%, draw 24%, Blackburn 71%73' · 1–2 · West Brom 5%, draw 23%, Blackburn 72%74' · 2–2 · West Brom 23%, draw 60%, Blackburn 17%75' · 2–2 · West Brom 22%, draw 61%, Blackburn 17%76' · 2–2 · West Brom 22%, draw 62%, Blackburn 16%77' · 2–2 · West Brom 21%, draw 63%, Blackburn 16%78' · 2–2 · West Brom 20%, draw 64%, Blackburn 15%79' · 2–2 · West Brom 19%, draw 66%, Blackburn 15%80' · 2–2 · West Brom 19%, draw 67%, Blackburn 14%81' · 2–2 · West Brom 18%, draw 68%, Blackburn 14%82' · 2–2 · West Brom 17%, draw 70%, Blackburn 13%83' · 2–2 · West Brom 16%, draw 71%, Blackburn 13%84' · 2–2 · West Brom 15%, draw 73%, Blackburn 12%85' · 2–2 · West Brom 15%, draw 74%, Blackburn 11%86' · 2–2 · West Brom 14%, draw 76%, Blackburn 11%87' · 2–2 · West Brom 13%, draw 77%, Blackburn 10%88' · 2–2 · West Brom 12%, draw 79%, Blackburn 9%89' · 2–2 · West Brom 11%, draw 81%, Blackburn 8%90' · 3–2 · West Brom 92%, draw 7%, Blackburn 0%90+1' · 3–2 · West Brom 93%, draw 6%, Blackburn 0%90+2' · 3–2 · West Brom 94%, draw 5%, Blackburn 0%90+3' · 3–2 · West Brom 96%, draw 4%, Blackburn 0%90+4' · 3–2 · West Brom 97%, draw 3%, Blackburn 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave West Brom 43% to win: they did.

  1. 6'Blackburn:Andri Guðjohnsen 1993 −14 assist Kristi Montgomery 1814 0
  2. 12'Blackburn:Andri Guðjohnsen 1993 −14
  3. 19'West Brom:Barney Stewart 1763 +73
  4. 21'Blackburn:Kristi Montgomery 1814 0
  5. 23'West Brom:George Campbell 2073 +17
  6. 27'Blackburn:J. Fevrier 1837 0 for Ryoya Morishita 1918 −2
  7. 32'Blackburn:Oladapo Afolayan 1939 −3
  8. 41'West Brom:Chris Mepham 1944 +24
  9. 43'West Brom:Ousmane·Diakite 1991 +31 for Toby Collyer 1600 +22
  10. 60'Blackburn:Moussa·Baradji 1785 0 for Oladapo Afolayan 1939 −3
  11. 60'Blackburn:Mathias Jørgensen 1714 −8* for Todd Cantwell 1942 −3
  12. 61'Blackburn:Jake Garrett 1546 0 for Sam Morsy 1855 −7
  13. 63'West Brom:Harry Whitwell 1785 +10 for Rabby Nzingoula 1874 +20
  14. 63'West Brom:Aune Heggebo 1980 +10 for Barney Stewart 1763 +73
  15. 71'Blackburn:Sean McLoughlin 1944 −4
  16. 72'West Brom:Isaac Price 2223 +27 (pen.)
  17. 73'Blackburn:Hayden Carter 1944 −1 for Andri Guðjohnsen 1993 −14
  18. 87'West Brom:Felix Horn Myhre 1841 +2 for J. Morgan 1936 +25
  19. 87'West Brom:Nathaniel Phillips 2011 −1 for George Campbell 2073 +17
  20. 89'West Brom:Felix Horn Myhre 1841 +2 assist Aune Heggebo 1980 +10

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-2-3-1
GM. O’Leary2066+18
DB. Pereira2007+22
DC. Mepham1944+24
DG. Campbell2073+17
DC. Styles2064+18
MR. Nzingoula1874+20
MJ. Molumby2052+18
MTobias Christopher Collyer1600+22
MI. Price2223+27
FB. Stewart1763+73
FJ. Morgan1936+25
CJ. Morrison1880+56
GB. Tóth2084−12
DR. Alebiosu1943−2
DTom Atcheson1941−2
DS. McLoughlin1944−4
DH. Pickering1953−4
MSam Morsy1855−7
MKristi Montgomery18140
MR. Morishita1918−2
MT. Cantwell1942−3
MO. Afolayan1939−3
FA. Guðjohnsen1993−14
CTony Mowbray18510
Before kick-off: 43% · 31% · 26%(West Brom · draw · Blackburn)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–2 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: West Brom €3.0M, Blackburn €1.9M.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Championship): West Brom ranked #24 of 24, Blackburn #3.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

West Brom

7th in Championship · 17 pts from 10

  • 13 OctWWrexham 1876
  • 10 OctLBirmingham 1891
  • 20 SepLWolves 1952
  • 12 SepDQPR 1902
  • 9 SepWDerby 1947

Blackburn

10th in Championship · 15 pts from 10

  • 13 OctWBristol City 1906
  • 10 OctWCardiff 1894
  • 19 SepDPortsmouth 1872
  • 12 SepWMillwall 1829
  • 8 SepLSheffield Utd 1828

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
West Brom17 /1064.5<1%7%2%9th
Blackburn15 /1056.30%<1%12%19th
West Brom
Blackburn

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Campbell
G. Campbell

West Brom · +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2056

S. McLoughlin
S. McLoughlin

Blackburn · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1948

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

James Morrison

Coach DNA: –

Tony Mowbray

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

West Brom: balanced profile (how James Morrison plays) · Blackburn: balanced profile (how Tony Mowbray plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.