Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Weserstadion, Bremen
Werder Bremen host Borussia Mönchengladbach on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Werder Bremen 46%, draw 28%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Werder Bremen €7.1M, Borussia Mönchengladbach €5.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Werder Bremen goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 2–27%
- 1–07%
- 2–07%
- 1–27%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Werder Bremen 2014 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1935
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Werder Bremen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2157

Borussia Mönchengladbach · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 2073
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Werder Bremen
6th in Bundesliga · 15 pts from 9
- 7 NovLVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga2088
- 31 OctW1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga2058
- 27 OctLBorussia Dortmund Germany DFB Pokal1953
- 24 OctWFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga2034
- 17 OctDSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2034
Borussia Mönchengladbach
18th in Bundesliga · 4 pts from 9
- 6 NovLHamburger SV Bundesliga1951
- 31 OctDSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga1937
- 27 OctWKarlsruher SC Germany DFB Pokal1907
- 23 OctWVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga1857
- 18 OctL1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga1866
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 15 /9 | 45.1 | 0% | 2% | 2% | 8th |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 /9 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 73% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Werder Bremen: balanced profile (how D. Thioune plays) · Borussia Mönchengladbach: balanced profile (how A. Blessin plays)