Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Weserstadion, Bremen
Werder Bremen host 1899 Hoffenheim on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Werder Bremen 31%, draw 29%, 1899 Hoffenheim 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Werder Bremen €6.2M, 1899 Hoffenheim €12.8M.
- Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Werder Bremen goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Werder Bremen 1974 · 1899 Hoffenheim 2082
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Werder Bremen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2145
1899 Hoffenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2160
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Werder Bremen
8th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 6
- 17 OctDSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2037
- 9 OctDBorussia Dortmund Bundesliga2031
- 19 SepWFC Augsburg Bundesliga2004
- 12 SepD1. FC Köln Bundesliga2004
- 5 SepWRB Leipzig Bundesliga1956
1899 Hoffenheim
14th in Bundesliga · 6 pts from 6
- 18 OctWBorussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga2082
- 15 OctLBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League2083
- 10 OctLHamburger SV Bundesliga2103
- 20 SepLSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2076
- 17 SepLOFI UEFA Europa League2107
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 9 /6 | 40.6 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 11th |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 /6 | 43.8 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Werder Bremen: balanced profile (how Daniel Moustapha Thioune plays) · 1899 Hoffenheim: balanced profile (how Christian Ilzer plays)