Championship · Regular Season - 14
Watford vs Lincoln
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Vicarage Road, Watford
Watford host Lincoln on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Watford 43%, draw 28%, Lincoln 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Watford €3.4M, Lincoln €979K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Watford goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: Watford 1947 · Lincoln 1932
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Watford · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2029
Lincoln · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1983
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Watford
20th in Championship · 11 pts from 11
- 17 OctWCharlton England Championship1979
- 13 OctLCardiff England Championship1956
- 10 OctLBurnley England Championship1923
- 18 SepLBristol City England Championship1927
- 12 SepLStoke City England Championship1976
Lincoln
18th in Championship · 12 pts from 11
- 17 OctDMillwall England Championship1918
- 14 OctLWest Ham England Championship1950
- 10 OctLSheffield Utd England Championship1980
- 19 SepLSwansea England Championship1981
- 15 SepWBristol City England Championship1973
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 11 /11 | 56.5 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 19th |
| Lincoln | 12 /11 | 56.4 | 0% | 1% | 13% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Watford: dribble-heavy (how Alessio Dionisi plays) · Lincoln: direct (how Tom Shaw plays)