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Championship · Regular Season - 11

Watford 2–0 Charlton

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Vicarage Road, Watford

Watford crestWatfordTeam 1934
2–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Charlton crestCharltonTeam 1899

Match story

Watford · draw · Charlton

Before kick-off: 44% · 28% · 27%

Live chances: Watford 100%, draw 0%, Charlton 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Watford 44%, draw 28%, Charlton 27%2' · 0–0 · Watford 44%, draw 28%, Charlton 27%3' · 0–0 · Watford 44%, draw 28%, Charlton 27%4' · 0–0 · Watford 44%, draw 29%, Charlton 27%5' · 0–0 · Watford 44%, draw 29%, Charlton 27%6' · 0–0 · Watford 44%, draw 29%, Charlton 27%7' · 0–0 · Watford 44%, draw 29%, Charlton 27%8' · 0–0 · Watford 44%, draw 29%, Charlton 27%9' · 0–0 · Watford 43%, draw 29%, Charlton 27%10' · 0–0 · Watford 43%, draw 29%, Charlton 27%11' · 0–0 · Watford 43%, draw 29%, Charlton 27%12' · 0–0 · Watford 43%, draw 30%, Charlton 27%13' · 0–0 · Watford 43%, draw 30%, Charlton 27%14' · 0–0 · Watford 43%, draw 30%, Charlton 27%15' · 0–0 · Watford 43%, draw 30%, Charlton 27%16' · 0–0 · Watford 43%, draw 30%, Charlton 27%17' · 0–0 · Watford 42%, draw 30%, Charlton 27%18' · 0–0 · Watford 42%, draw 30%, Charlton 27%19' · 0–0 · Watford 42%, draw 31%, Charlton 27%20' · 0–0 · Watford 42%, draw 31%, Charlton 27%21' · 0–0 · Watford 42%, draw 31%, Charlton 27%22' · 0–0 · Watford 42%, draw 31%, Charlton 27%23' · 0–0 · Watford 42%, draw 31%, Charlton 27%24' · 0–0 · Watford 41%, draw 31%, Charlton 27%25' · 0–0 · Watford 41%, draw 32%, Charlton 27%26' · 0–0 · Watford 41%, draw 32%, Charlton 27%27' · 0–0 · Watford 41%, draw 32%, Charlton 27%28' · 0–0 · Watford 41%, draw 32%, Charlton 27%29' · 0–0 · Watford 41%, draw 32%, Charlton 27%30' · 0–0 · Watford 41%, draw 33%, Charlton 27%31' · 0–0 · Watford 40%, draw 33%, Charlton 27%32' · 0–0 · Watford 40%, draw 33%, Charlton 27%33' · 0–0 · Watford 40%, draw 33%, Charlton 27%34' · 0–0 · Watford 40%, draw 34%, Charlton 27%35' · 0–0 · Watford 40%, draw 34%, Charlton 27%36' · 0–0 · Watford 39%, draw 34%, Charlton 27%37' · 0–0 · Watford 39%, draw 34%, Charlton 26%38' · 0–0 · Watford 39%, draw 35%, Charlton 26%39' · 0–0 · Watford 39%, draw 35%, Charlton 26%40' · 0–0 · Watford 39%, draw 35%, Charlton 26%41' · 0–0 · Watford 38%, draw 35%, Charlton 26%42' · 0–0 · Watford 38%, draw 36%, Charlton 26%43' · 0–0 · Watford 38%, draw 36%, Charlton 26%44' · 0–0 · Watford 38%, draw 36%, Charlton 26%45' · 0–0 · Watford 38%, draw 37%, Charlton 26%45+1' · 0–0 · Watford 37%, draw 37%, Charlton 26%45+2' · 0–0 · Watford 37%, draw 37%, Charlton 26%HT · 0–0 · Watford 37%, draw 38%, Charlton 26%46' · 0–0 · Watford 37%, draw 38%, Charlton 26%47' · 0–0 · Watford 36%, draw 38%, Charlton 25%48' · 0–0 · Watford 36%, draw 39%, Charlton 25%49' · 0–0 · Watford 36%, draw 39%, Charlton 25%50' · 0–0 · Watford 36%, draw 39%, Charlton 25%51' · 0–0 · Watford 35%, draw 40%, Charlton 25%52' · 0–0 · Watford 35%, draw 40%, Charlton 25%53' · 0–0 · Watford 34%, draw 41%, Charlton 25%54' · 0–0 · Watford 34%, draw 42%, Charlton 24%55' · 0–0 · Watford 34%, draw 42%, Charlton 24%56' · 0–0 · Watford 33%, draw 43%, Charlton 24%57' · 0–0 · Watford 33%, draw 43%, Charlton 24%58' · 1–0 · Watford 75%, draw 20%, Charlton 5%59' · 1–0 · Watford 75%, draw 20%, Charlton 5%60' · 1–0 · Watford 75%, draw 20%, Charlton 5%61' · 1–0 · Watford 76%, draw 20%, Charlton 5%62' · 1–0 · Watford 76%, draw 19%, Charlton 5%63' · 1–0 · Watford 76%, draw 19%, Charlton 5%64' · 1–0 · Watford 76%, draw 19%, Charlton 4%65' · 1–0 · Watford 77%, draw 19%, Charlton 4%66' · 1–0 · Watford 77%, draw 19%, Charlton 4%67' · 1–0 · Watford 77%, draw 19%, Charlton 4%68' · 1–0 · Watford 78%, draw 18%, Charlton 4%69' · 1–0 · Watford 78%, draw 18%, Charlton 4%70' · 1–0 · Watford 79%, draw 18%, Charlton 3%71' · 1–0 · Watford 79%, draw 18%, Charlton 3%72' · 1–0 · Watford 79%, draw 18%, Charlton 3%73' · 1–0 · Watford 80%, draw 17%, Charlton 3%74' · 1–0 · Watford 80%, draw 17%, Charlton 3%75' · 1–0 · Watford 81%, draw 17%, Charlton 3%76' · 1–0 · Watford 81%, draw 16%, Charlton 2%77' · 1–0 · Watford 82%, draw 16%, Charlton 2%78' · 1–0 · Watford 82%, draw 16%, Charlton 2%79' · 1–0 · Watford 83%, draw 15%, Charlton 2%80' · 1–0 · Watford 84%, draw 15%, Charlton 2%81' · 1–0 · Watford 84%, draw 14%, Charlton 2%82' · 1–0 · Watford 85%, draw 14%, Charlton 1%83' · 1–0 · Watford 86%, draw 13%, Charlton 1%84' · 1–0 · Watford 86%, draw 13%, Charlton 1%85' · 1–0 · Watford 87%, draw 12%, Charlton 1%86' · 1–0 · Watford 88%, draw 11%, Charlton 1%87' · 1–0 · Watford 89%, draw 11%, Charlton 1%88' · 1–0 · Watford 90%, draw 10%, Charlton 1%89' · 1–0 · Watford 90%, draw 9%, Charlton 1%90' · 1–0 · Watford 92%, draw 8%, Charlton 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Watford 93%, draw 7%, Charlton 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Watford 94%, draw 6%, Charlton 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Watford 95%, draw 5%, Charlton 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Watford 96%, draw 4%, Charlton 0%90+5' · 2–0 · Watford 100%, draw 0%, Charlton 0%90+6' · 2–0 · Watford 100%, draw 0%, Charlton 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Watford 44% to win: they did.

  1. 10'Charlton:Dan McNamara 1949 −7
  2. 17'Watford:Myron Boadu 1857 +14
  3. 31'Watford:Iker Bravo 1956 +40
  4. 32'Charlton:Oliver Skipp 1995 −6
  5. 44'Charlton:Tyreece Campbell 1847 −1
  6. 45'Charlton:Alan Mwamba 1441 −8* for Oliver Skipp 1995 −6
  7. 47'Charlton:Conor Coventry 1975 −8
  8. 58'Watford:Luca Kjerrumgaard 2025 +28
  9. 62'Charlton:sonny carey 1959 −11* for Conor Coventry 1975 −8
  10. 63'Charlton:Harvey Knibbs 1793 −1 for Karlan Grant 1888 −5
  11. 63'Charlton:Charlie Kelman 1867 −1 for Dan McNamara 1949 −7
  12. 66'Watford:Jordan Zemura 1990 +9 for Krépin Diatta 2143 +13
  13. 66'Watford:Martin Payero 1925 +10 for Myron Boadu 1857 +14
  14. 76'Watford:Branimir Mlacic 1826 +8 for Marc Bola 2060 +23
  15. 76'Watford:Mamadou Doumbia 1784 +3 for Luca Kjerrumgaard 2025 +28
  16. 77'Charlton:Millenic Alli 1862 −1 for Tyreece Campbell 1847 −1
  17. 79'Watford:Jordan Zemura 1990 +9
  18. 86'Watford:Rocco Vata 1855 +2 for Iker Bravo 1956 +40
  19. 90+2'Charlton:Alan Mwamba 1441 −8*
  20. 90+4'Watford:Jordan Zemura 1990 +9 assist Rocco Vata 1855 +2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GF. Ravaglia2084+9
DK. Diatta2143+13
DM. Pollock2049+31
DK. Keben1953+42
DS. Coulibaly1963+41
ME. Kayembe2039+30
MH. Kyprianou2029+12
MM. Bola2060+23
MM. Boadu1857+14
MIker Bravo1956+40
FL. Kjerrumgaard2025+28
CA. Dionisi1857+36
GA. Okonkwo1948−27
DD. McNamara1949−7
DL. Jones1904−20
DBilly Dawson Koumetio16900
DI. Mesík18300
MC. Coventry1975−8
MO. Skipp1995−6
MK. Ahearne-Grant1888−5
MK. Ramsay1930−8
MT. Campbell1847−1
FM. Leaburn1869−3
CN. Jones1900−11
Before kick-off: 44% · 28% · 27%(Watford · draw · Charlton)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–0 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Watford €4.1M, Charlton €2.6M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Watford

22nd in Championship · 8 pts from 10

  • 13 OctLCardiff 1956
  • 10 OctLBurnley 1923
  • 18 SepLBristol City 1927
  • 12 SepLStoke City 1976
  • 8 SepWPreston 1900

Charlton

13th in Championship · 14 pts from 10

  • 13 OctDBurnley 1899
  • 10 OctDBristol City 1887
  • 19 SepLCardiff 1914
  • 12 SepDPortsmouth 1916
  • 9 SepDQPR 1920

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Watford8 /1054.00%<1%21%22nd
Charlton14 /1056.60%1%13%19th
Watford
Charlton

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Iker Bravo
Iker Bravo

Watford · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1916

L. Jones
L. Jones

Charlton · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1924

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alessio Dionisi

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Nathan Jason Jones

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Watford: dribble-heavy (how Alessio Dionisi plays) · Charlton: balanced profile (how Nathan Jason Jones plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.