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Premier Division · Regular Season - 33

Waterford 3–2 Galway United

Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford

Waterford crestWaterfordTeam 1466
3–2
Full time
HT 2–0
Galway United crestGalway UnitedTeam 1429

Match story

Waterford · draw · Galway United

Before kick-off: 44% · 29% · 27%

Live chances: Waterford 98%, draw 2%, Galway United 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Waterford 44%, draw 29%, Galway United 27%2' · 0–0 · Waterford 44%, draw 29%, Galway United 27%3' · 0–0 · Waterford 44%, draw 29%, Galway United 27%4' · 0–0 · Waterford 43%, draw 29%, Galway United 27%5' · 0–0 · Waterford 43%, draw 29%, Galway United 27%6' · 0–0 · Waterford 43%, draw 30%, Galway United 27%7' · 0–0 · Waterford 43%, draw 30%, Galway United 27%8' · 0–0 · Waterford 43%, draw 30%, Galway United 27%9' · 0–0 · Waterford 43%, draw 30%, Galway United 27%10' · 0–0 · Waterford 43%, draw 30%, Galway United 27%11' · 0–0 · Waterford 43%, draw 30%, Galway United 27%12' · 0–0 · Waterford 43%, draw 30%, Galway United 27%13' · 0–0 · Waterford 42%, draw 30%, Galway United 27%14' · 0–0 · Waterford 42%, draw 31%, Galway United 27%15' · 0–0 · Waterford 42%, draw 31%, Galway United 27%16' · 0–0 · Waterford 42%, draw 31%, Galway United 27%17' · 0–0 · Waterford 42%, draw 31%, Galway United 27%18' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 20%, Galway United 10%19' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 20%, Galway United 10%20' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 20%, Galway United 10%21' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 20%, Galway United 10%22' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 20%, Galway United 10%23' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 20%, Galway United 10%24' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 20%, Galway United 10%25' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%26' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%27' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%28' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%29' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%30' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%31' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%32' · 1–0 · Waterford 70%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%33' · 1–0 · Waterford 71%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%34' · 1–0 · Waterford 71%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%35' · 1–0 · Waterford 71%, draw 21%, Galway United 9%36' · 1–0 · Waterford 71%, draw 21%, Galway United 8%37' · 1–0 · Waterford 71%, draw 21%, Galway United 8%38' · 1–0 · Waterford 71%, draw 21%, Galway United 8%39' · 1–0 · Waterford 71%, draw 21%, Galway United 8%40' · 1–0 · Waterford 71%, draw 21%, Galway United 8%41' · 1–0 · Waterford 71%, draw 21%, Galway United 8%42' · 1–0 · Waterford 71%, draw 21%, Galway United 8%43' · 1–0 · Waterford 72%, draw 21%, Galway United 8%44' · 1–0 · Waterford 72%, draw 21%, Galway United 8%45' · 1–0 · Waterford 72%, draw 21%, Galway United 8%45+1' · 2–0 · Waterford 93%, draw 6%, Galway United 1%HT · 2–0 · Waterford 93%, draw 5%, Galway United 1%46' · 2–0 · Waterford 93%, draw 5%, Galway United 1%47' · 2–0 · Waterford 93%, draw 5%, Galway United 1%48' · 2–0 · Waterford 94%, draw 5%, Galway United 1%49' · 2–0 · Waterford 94%, draw 5%, Galway United 1%50' · 2–0 · Waterford 94%, draw 5%, Galway United 1%51' · 2–0 · Waterford 94%, draw 5%, Galway United 1%52' · 2–0 · Waterford 94%, draw 5%, Galway United 1%53' · 2–1 · Waterford 74%, draw 20%, Galway United 6%54' · 2–1 · Waterford 74%, draw 20%, Galway United 6%55' · 2–1 · Waterford 74%, draw 20%, Galway United 6%56' · 2–1 · Waterford 74%, draw 20%, Galway United 6%57' · 2–1 · Waterford 75%, draw 20%, Galway United 5%58' · 2–1 · Waterford 75%, draw 20%, Galway United 5%59' · 2–1 · Waterford 75%, draw 20%, Galway United 5%60' · 2–2 · Waterford 31%, draw 46%, Galway United 23%61' · 2–2 · Waterford 31%, draw 47%, Galway United 22%62' · 2–2 · Waterford 30%, draw 48%, Galway United 22%63' · 2–2 · Waterford 30%, draw 48%, Galway United 22%64' · 2–2 · Waterford 29%, draw 49%, Galway United 22%65' · 2–2 · Waterford 29%, draw 50%, Galway United 21%66' · 2–2 · Waterford 28%, draw 50%, Galway United 21%67' · 2–2 · Waterford 28%, draw 51%, Galway United 21%68' · 2–2 · Waterford 27%, draw 52%, Galway United 21%69' · 2–2 · Waterford 27%, draw 53%, Galway United 20%70' · 2–2 · Waterford 26%, draw 54%, Galway United 20%71' · 2–2 · Waterford 26%, draw 55%, Galway United 20%72' · 2–2 · Waterford 25%, draw 56%, Galway United 19%73' · 2–2 · Waterford 25%, draw 57%, Galway United 19%74' · 2–2 · Waterford 24%, draw 58%, Galway United 18%75' · 2–2 · Waterford 23%, draw 59%, Galway United 18%76' · 2–2 · Waterford 23%, draw 60%, Galway United 17%77' · 2–2 · Waterford 22%, draw 61%, Galway United 17%78' · 2–2 · Waterford 21%, draw 62%, Galway United 16%79' · 2–2 · Waterford 21%, draw 64%, Galway United 16%80' · 2–2 · Waterford 20%, draw 65%, Galway United 15%81' · 2–2 · Waterford 19%, draw 66%, Galway United 15%82' · 2–2 · Waterford 18%, draw 68%, Galway United 14%83' · 2–2 · Waterford 17%, draw 69%, Galway United 14%84' · 2–2 · Waterford 16%, draw 71%, Galway United 13%85' · 2–2 · Waterford 16%, draw 72%, Galway United 12%86' · 2–2 · Waterford 15%, draw 74%, Galway United 11%87' · 2–2 · Waterford 14%, draw 76%, Galway United 11%88' · 2–2 · Waterford 12%, draw 78%, Galway United 10%89' · 2–2 · Waterford 11%, draw 80%, Galway United 9%90' · 3–2 · Waterford 92%, draw 8%, Galway United 0%90+1' · 3–2 · Waterford 93%, draw 7%, Galway United 0%90+2' · 3–2 · Waterford 94%, draw 6%, Galway United 0%90+3' · 3–2 · Waterford 95%, draw 5%, Galway United 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Waterford 96%, draw 3%, Galway United 0%90+5' · 3–2 · Waterford 98%, draw 2%, Galway United 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Waterford 44% to win: they did.

  1. 18'Waterford:Padraig Amond 1306 assist Tom Lonergan 1528
  2. 32'Galway United:Stephen Walsh 1285
  3. 34'Waterford:Noah Mawene 1485
  4. 45'Galway United:francely lomboto 1178 for Kristopher Twardek 1464
  5. 45'Galway United:Matthew Wolfe 1402 for Ed McCarthy 1470
  6. 45+1'Waterford:Padraig Amond 1306
  7. 52'Galway United:Gianfranco Facchineri 1478
  8. 52'Galway United:Lee Devitt Molloy 1427
  9. 60'Galway United:Stephen Walsh 1285 assist francely lomboto 1178
  10. 64'Waterford:Graham Coughlan
  11. 67'Galway United:Aaron Bolger 1478
  12. 74'Galway United:Frantz Pierrot 1415 for Stephen Walsh 1285
  13. 80'Waterford:Dean Mcmenamy 1460 for C.Noonan 1504
  14. 80'Waterford:Luke Heeney 1406 for Noah Mawene 1485
  15. 81'Waterford:Jørgen Voilås 1306 for Jordan Houston 1481
  16. 89'Waterford:Tom Lonergan 1528 assist Bernardo Piexoto Couto 1520
  17. 90'Waterford:Tom Lonergan 1528
  18. 90'Galway United:Junior Thiam 1232 for Lee Devitt Molloy 1427
  19. 90'Galway United:Dylan Connolly 1372 for Aaron Bolger 1478

Line-ups

4-4-2Formations4-2-3-1
GHugo Alberto Pires da Cunha1470
DConnor Barratt1364
DA. O'Connor1457
DGianfranco Facchineri1478
DL. Devitt1427
MA. Bolger1478
MJ. Keohane1392
MK. Twardek1464
MD. Hurley1481
ME. McCarthy1470
FS. Walsh1285
CJohn Caulfield1464
Before kick-off: 44% · 29% · 27%(Waterford · draw · Galway United)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–2 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Waterford €186K, Galway United €153K.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premier Division): Waterford ranked #8 of 11, Galway United #2.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Waterford

9th in Premier Division · 34 pts from 33

  • 16 OctLBohemians 1506
  • 18 SepLShamrock Rovers 1502
  • 14 SepDDerry City 1502
  • 11 SepDDundalk 1513
  • 28 AugWSt Patrick's Athl. 1452

Galway United

7th in Premier Division · 41 pts from 33

  • 16 OctWShamrock Rovers 1406
  • 25 SepDShelbourne 1405
  • 18 SepLDerry City 1413
  • 14 SepWSligo Rovers 1388
  • 11 SepLBohemians 1399

Season outlook

From the Premier Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Waterford34 /3338.20%0%95%9th
Galway United41 /3344.30%3%9%6th
Waterford
Galway United

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

K. Long
K. Long

Waterford · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1556

D. Hurley
D. Hurley

Galway United · +5.1 (Good) · Elo 1481

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Graham Coughlan

Coach DNA: direct

John Caulfield

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Waterford: balanced profile (how Graham Coughlan plays) · Galway United: direct (how John Caulfield plays)