Primera División · Clausura - 10
Wanderers 1–3 Boston River
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera, Montevideo
WanderersTeam 1509
Boston RiverTeam 1475- Martín González 8'
- Joaquin Nicolas·Cabral 74' (og)
- Nicolas Siri 90+1'
We gave Wanderers 44% to win: Boston River won.
- 8'Martín González –
Boston River:Martín González – - Facundo Labandeira –39'
Wanderers:Facundo Labandeira – - 46'Rodrigo Agustín Saravia Salvia –
Boston River:Rodrigo Agustín Saravia Salvia – - Joaquin Nicolas·Cabral –58'
Wanderers:Joaquin Nicolas·Cabral – - Santiago Ormeño – for Joaquín Zeballos –62'
Wanderers:Santiago Ormeño – for Joaquín Zeballos – - 62'Nicolas Siri – for Marco Mancebo –
Boston River:Nicolas Siri – for Marco Mancebo – - 62'Agustin Aguirre – for Martín González –
Boston River:Agustin Aguirre – for Martín González – - Santiago benitez –68'
Wanderers:Santiago benitez – - 74'Joaquin Nicolas·Cabral – (own goal)
Boston River:Joaquin Nicolas·Cabral – (own goal) - Jonathan Urretaviscaya – for Santiago benitez –76'
Wanderers:Jonathan Urretaviscaya – for Santiago benitez – - Renzo·Sanchez Veiga – for José Alberti –76'
Wanderers:Renzo·Sanchez Veiga – for José Alberti – - 82'Facundo Aristegui – for Francisco Bonfiglio –
Boston River:Facundo Aristegui – for Francisco Bonfiglio – - Rodrigo Rivero – for Mario Garcia –84'
Wanderers:Rodrigo Rivero – for Mario Garcia – - Gonzalo Freitas – for Nicolás Queiroz –84'
Wanderers:Gonzalo Freitas – for Nicolás Queiroz – - 90'Felipe Avenatti – for Facundo Ezequiel Munoa dos Santos –
Boston River:Felipe Avenatti – for Facundo Ezequiel Munoa dos Santos – - 90+1'Nicolas Siri –
Boston River:Nicolas Siri – - 90+4'
Wanderers:
Before kick-off (provisional): 44% · 28% · 28%(Wanderers · draw · Boston River)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wanderers €297K, Boston River €277K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wanderers
6th in Primera División - Apertura · 50 pts from 31
- 4 OctWCerro Uruguay Primera Division1491
- 20 SepDDanubio Uruguay Primera Division1501
- 12 SepDClub Nacional Uruguay Primera Division1502
- 5 SepLDeportivo Maldonado Uruguay Primera Division1502
- 9 AugWDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1495
Boston River
14th in Primera División - Apertura · 31 pts from 31
- 4 OctDJuventud Uruguay Primera Division1473
- 26 SepLPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1478
- 19 SepLProgreso Uruguay Primera Division1468
- 12 SepLRacing Montevideo Uruguay Primera Division1454
- 6 SepLLiverpool Montevideo Uruguay Primera Division1496
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wanderers | 81 /68 | 83.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10th |
| Boston River | 86 /68 | 88.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Boston River · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1523
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –