League Two · Regular Season - 12
Walsall vs Oldham
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Bescot Stadium, Walsall
Walsall host Oldham on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Walsall 44%, draw 28%, Oldham 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Walsall €192K, Oldham €182K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Walsall goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Walsall 1646 · Oldham 1604
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Walsall · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1720
Oldham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1691
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Walsall
5th in League Two · 16 pts from 10
- 17 OctDSwindon Town England League Two1655
- 13 OctWFulham U21 England EFL Trophy1469
- 10 OctDFleetwood Town England League Two1660
- 26 SepDTranmere England League Two1656
- 22 SepLStevenage England EFL Trophy1467
Oldham
19th in League Two · 11 pts from 10
- 17 OctWCheltenham England League Two1611
- 13 OctWLeeds United U21 England EFL Trophy1551
- 10 OctDAccrington ST England League Two1559
- 26 SepLSalford City England League Two1579
- 22 SepWFleetwood Town England EFL Trophy1561
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall | 16 /10 | 64.5 | 1% | 16% | 2% | 6th |
| Oldham | 11 /10 | 56.5 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Walsall: direct (how Lee Grant plays) · Oldham: balanced profile (how Michael Joseph Mellon plays)