League Two · Regular Season - 15
Walsall vs Barnet
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Bescot Stadium, Walsall
Walsall host Barnet on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Walsall 36%, draw 29%, Barnet 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Walsall €243K, Barnet €338K.
- Home advantage makes Walsall the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in possession (League Two): Walsall rank #25 of 25, Barnet #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Walsall goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Walsall 1669 · Barnet 1731
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Walsall · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1784
Barnet · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1838
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Walsall
6th in League Two · 19 pts from 12
- 26 OctLSalford City England League Two1689
- 20 OctWOldham England League Two1629
- 17 OctDSwindon Town England League Two1655
- 13 OctWFulham U21 England EFL Trophy1469
- 10 OctDFleetwood Town England League Two1660
Barnet
2nd in League Two · 25 pts from 12
- 27 OctWYork England League Two1739
- 24 OctDOldham England League Two1700
- 20 OctLSwindon Town England League Two1775
- 17 OctWTranmere England League Two1747
- 10 OctWBristol Rovers England League Two1704
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall | 19 /12 | 65.1 | 1% | 19% | 2% | 5th |
| Barnet | 25 /12 | 77.6 | 11% | 77% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Walsall: direct (how Lee Grant plays) · Barnet: balanced profile (how Dean Brennan plays)