3. Liga · Regular Season - 13
Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Carl-Benz Stadion, Mannheim
Waldhof Mannheim host Fortuna Köln on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Waldhof Mannheim 59%, draw 24%, Fortuna Köln 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Waldhof Mannheim €353K, Fortuna Köln €160K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Waldhof Mannheim goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Waldhof Mannheim 1614 · Fortuna Köln 1430
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Waldhof Mannheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1672
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Waldhof Mannheim
8th in 3. Liga · 16 pts from 11
- 25 OctWHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1614
- 17 OctLWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1577
- 14 OctLFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1599
- 10 OctWSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1564
- 20 SepWPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1604
Fortuna Köln
19th in 3. Liga · 10 pts from 12
- 31 OctLWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1381
- 25 OctLPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1409
- 16 OctLStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1428
- 13 OctLRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1488
- 10 OctDFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1437
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waldhof Mannheim | 16 /11 | 55.0 | 1% | 11% | 1% | 10th |
| Fortuna Köln | 10 /12 | 37.1 | 0% | 0% | 61% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –