2. Liga · Regular Season - 9
Wacker Innsbruck 0–1 Austria Salzburg
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
Wacker InnsbruckTeam 1370Austria SalzburgTeam 1458- C. Gebauer 52'
We gave Austria Salzburg 36% to win: they did.
- A. Lechl –28'Wacker Innsbruck:A. Lechl –
- 36'S. Spitali –Austria Salzburg:S. Spitali –
- 52'C. Gebauer – assist F. Rieder –Austria Salzburg:C. Gebauer – assist F. Rieder –
- 57'M. Rottensteiner –Austria Salzburg:M. Rottensteiner –
- 59'R. Hofer –Austria Salzburg:R. Hofer –
- B. Owusu – for L. Gstrein –60'Wacker Innsbruck:B. Owusu – for L. Gstrein –
- 64'L. Kronberger – for T. Crnkic –Austria Salzburg:L. Kronberger – for T. Crnkic –
- R. Galle – for D. Francis –66'Wacker Innsbruck:R. Galle – for D. Francis –
- 72'N. Lukasser Weitlaner – for S. Spitali –Austria Salzburg:N. Lukasser Weitlaner – for S. Spitali –
- M. Kochl – for M. Evans –78'Wacker Innsbruck:M. Kochl – for M. Evans –
- G. Biancheri – for R. Littig –78'Wacker Innsbruck:G. Biancheri – for R. Littig –
- A. Wibowo – for A. Lechl –78'Wacker Innsbruck:A. Wibowo – for A. Lechl –
- 78'C. Gruber – for M. Rottensteiner –Austria Salzburg:C. Gruber – for M. Rottensteiner –
Before kick-off (provisional): 34% · 29% · 36%(Wacker Innsbruck · draw · Austria Salzburg)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Wacker Innsbruck €142K, Austria Salzburg €233K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wacker Innsbruck
4th in 2. Liga · 14 pts from 8
- 11 SepDVoitsberg Austria 2 Liga1351
- 29 AugLFloridsdorfer AC Austria 2 Liga1319
- 21 AugWSKN ST. Polten Austria 2 Liga1291
- 7 AugLFC BW Linz Austria 2 Liga1321
- 22 MayWDornbirn Austria 2 Liga1247
Austria Salzburg
6th in 2. Liga · 13 pts from 8
- 19 SepLVoitsberg Austria 2 Liga1429
- 28 AugLSKN ST. Polten Austria 2 Liga1484
- 21 AugWSV Kapfenberg Austria 2 Liga1485
- 8 AugWFirst Vienna Austria 2 Liga1475
- 8 MayDAustria Lustenau Austria 2 Liga1487
Season outlook
From the 2. Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wacker Innsbruck | 14 /8 | 41.9 | 1% | 15% | 5% | 8th |
| Austria Salzburg | 13 /8 | 45.4 | 4% | 32% | 2% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Austria Salzburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1592
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: high-pressing
Coach DNA: –