Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11
Waalwijk 1–1 FC Volendam
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 10:15 UTC · Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
WaalwijkTeam 1639
FC VolendamTeam 1631Match story
Waalwijk · draw · FC VolendamBefore kick-off: 43% · 27% · 31%
Last reading, 90+4': 5% · 91% · 4%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Waalwijk 43% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 4'Reuven Niemeijer 1750 0 assist Nick Doodeman 1800 0
FC Volendam:Reuven Niemeijer 1750 0 assist Nick Doodeman 1800 0 - 24'Alex Plat 1753 −1
FC Volendam:Alex Plat 1753 −1 - 39'Daan Huisman 1645 +2
FC Volendam:Daan Huisman 1645 +2 - 45'Deron Payne 1726 −7* for Alex Plat 1753 −1
FC Volendam:Deron Payne 1726 −7* for Alex Plat 1753 −1 - Finn Stokkers 1530 −2 for Ryan Fage 1516 061'
Waalwijk:Finn Stokkers 1530 −2 for Ryan Fage 1516 0 - 70'Nordin Bukala 1760 +1
FC Volendam:Nordin Bukala 1760 +1 - Azzedine Dkidak 1314 0 for Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela 1690 070'
Waalwijk:Azzedine Dkidak 1314 0 for Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela 1690 0 - Yoram van der Veen 1444 0 for Virgil Misidjan 1542 −571'
Waalwijk:Yoram van der Veen 1444 0 for Virgil Misidjan 1542 −5 - 76'D. Bisschops 1429 −7* for Y. Jaber el Maftahi 1501 +2
FC Volendam:D. Bisschops 1429 −7* for Y. Jaber el Maftahi 1501 +2 - Yoram van der Veen 1444 081'
Waalwijk:Yoram van der Veen 1444 0 - 84'Frederik Ihler 1628 0 for Nick Doodeman 1800 0
FC Volendam:Frederik Ihler 1628 0 for Nick Doodeman 1800 0 - Nazjir Held 1690 0 for Jesse van de Haar 1677 084'
Waalwijk:Nazjir Held 1690 0 for Jesse van de Haar 1677 0 - Jochem Nap 1579 0 for Tim van de Loo 1667 084'
Waalwijk:Jochem Nap 1579 0 for Tim van de Loo 1667 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 43% · 27% · 31%(Waalwijk · draw · FC Volendam)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Waalwijk €490K, FC Volendam €561K.
- Home advantage made Waalwijk the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Waalwijk
10th in Eerste Divisie · 14 pts from 10
- 9 OctLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1666
- 3 OctDEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1602
- 26 SepLRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1626
- 18 SepWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1651
- 11 SepWJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1627
FC Volendam
9th in Eerste Divisie · 15 pts from 10
- 9 OctWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1655
- 3 OctLAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1667
- 26 SepWVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1642
- 18 SepLJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1652
- 13 SepWDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1653
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk | 14 /10 | 53.7 | 1% | 13% | 3% | 8th |
| FC Volendam | 15 /10 | 56.0 | 2% | 20% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Waalwijk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1781

FC Volendam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1708
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Waalwijk: balanced profile (how Sander Duits plays) · FC Volendam: balanced profile (how Erwin van de Looi plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.