Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 15
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
Waalwijk host Den Bosch on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Waalwijk 50%, draw 27%, Den Bosch 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Waalwijk €463K, Den Bosch €325K.
- Den Bosch are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Waalwijk goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Waalwijk 1632 · Den Bosch 1517
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Waalwijk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1709
Den Bosch · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1622
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Waalwijk
11th in Eerste Divisie · 16 pts from 12
- 27 OctDBarendrecht Netherlands KNVB Beker1564
- 23 OctDDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1652
- 18 OctDFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1676
- 9 OctLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1666
- 3 OctDEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1602
Den Bosch
13th in Eerste Divisie · 15 pts from 12
- 27 OctWRijnsburgse Boys Netherlands KNVB Beker1484
- 23 OctDMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1542
- 16 OctWFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1523
- 9 OctWJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1476
- 3 OctDDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1484
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk | 16 /12 | 52.1 | <1% | 6% | 3% | 11th |
| Den Bosch | 15 /12 | 43.1 | 0% | <1% | 29% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Waalwijk: balanced profile (how Sander Duits plays) · Den Bosch: direct (how Bart Schreuder plays)