Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13
Waalwijk vs Almere City FC
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
Waalwijk host Almere City FC on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Waalwijk 31%, draw 29%, Almere City FC 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Waalwijk €460K, Almere City FC €568K.
- Eerste Divisie: E. Poku is the highest-rated forward (1829).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Waalwijk goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Waalwijk 1635 · Almere City FC 1760
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Waalwijk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1714
Almere City FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1816
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Waalwijk
10th in Eerste Divisie · 15 pts from 11
- 18 OctDFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1676
- 9 OctLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1666
- 3 OctDEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1602
- 26 SepLRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1626
- 18 SepWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1651
Almere City FC
2nd in Eerste Divisie · 22 pts from 11
- 17 OctLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1772
- 9 OctWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1770
- 3 OctWFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1761
- 25 SepLDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1705
- 18 SepWHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1729
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk | 15 /11 | 53.6 | 1% | 11% | 2% | 9th |
| Almere City FC | 22 /11 | 68.6 | 32% | 85% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Waalwijk: balanced profile (how Sander Duits plays) · Almere City FC: direct (how Anoush Dastgir plays)