Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 17
VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
VVV Venlo host Waalwijk on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: VVV Venlo 43%, draw 28%, Waalwijk 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VVV Venlo €309K, Waalwijk €480K.
- Only 1 of VVV Venlo's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. VVV Venlo goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 2–28%
- 1–27%
- 1–07%
- 2–06%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: VVV Venlo 1627 · Waalwijk 1606
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VVV Venlo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1710
Waalwijk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1732
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VVV Venlo
2nd in Eerste Divisie · 29 pts from 14
- 6 NovDJong PSV U21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie1644
- 31 OctWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1592
- 28 OctLVitesse Netherlands KNVB Beker1574
- 24 OctWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1563
- 16 OctDJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1554
Waalwijk
11th in Eerste Divisie · 17 pts from 14
- 6 NovDFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1614
- 30 OctLAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1600
- 27 OctDBarendrecht Netherlands KNVB Beker1557
- 23 OctDDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1645
- 18 OctDFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1668
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 29 /14 | 61.8 | 4% | 46% | 0% | 3rd |
| Waalwijk | 17 /14 | 49.0 | 0% | 2% | 6% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VVV Venlo: balanced profile (how Marinus Dijkhuizen plays) · Waalwijk: balanced profile (how Sander Duits plays)