Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 14
VVV Venlo vs Jong PSV U21
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
VVV Venlo host Jong PSV U21 on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: VVV Venlo 46%, draw 28%, Jong PSV U21 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VVV Venlo €285K, Jong PSV U21 €505K.
- Only 2 of VVV Venlo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Only 0 of Jong PSV U21's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. VVV Venlo goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: VVV Venlo 1614 · Jong PSV U21 1547
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VVV Venlo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1601
Jong PSV U21 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1784
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VVV Venlo
3rd in Eerste Divisie · 22 pts from 11
- 16 OctDJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1565
- 9 OctWJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1535
- 4 OctWRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1530
- 26 SepLFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1575
- 18 SepWJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1529
Jong PSV U21
13th in Eerste Divisie · 13 pts from 11
- 9 OctDRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1483
- 19 SepLVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1509
- 11 SepLHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1549
- 31 AugDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1523
- 28 AugDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1557
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 22 /11 | 58.8 | 3% | 32% | <1% | 4th |
| Jong PSV U21 | 13 /11 | 45.5 | 0% | 1% | 22% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VVV Venlo: balanced profile (how Marinus Dijkhuizen plays) · Jong PSV U21: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Stijn Schaars plays)