Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11
VVV Venlo 4–4 Jong AZ
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Seacon Stadion De Koel, Venlo
VVV VenloTeam 1618Jong AZTeam 1696- L. Schmidt 33', 49'
- Andreas Verstraeten 66'
- Eanna Clancy 70'
- Jerolldino Bergraaf 13'
- rio robbemond 22'
- Jasper Hartog 55', 90+3'
We gave Jong AZ 36% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 13'Jerolldino Bergraaf assist Hessel de Wit –Jong AZ:Jerolldino Bergraaf assist Hessel de Wit –
- 22'rio robbemond – assist Jerolldino BergraafJong AZ:rio robbemond – assist Jerolldino Bergraaf
- Ismail Oulad M'Hand –31'VVV Venlo:Ismail Oulad M'Hand –
- L. Schmidt –33'VVV Venlo:L. Schmidt –
- 45'Jasper Hartog – for rio robbemond –Jong AZ:Jasper Hartog – for rio robbemond –
- L. Schmidt – assist Thomas Janssen –49'VVV Venlo:L. Schmidt – assist Thomas Janssen –
- 55'Jasper Hartog – assist Hessel de Wit –Jong AZ:Jasper Hartog – assist Hessel de Wit –
- Lars de Blok – for Philip Heise –60'VVV Venlo:Lars de Blok – for Philip Heise –
- Luis Gorlich – for Ismail Oulad M'Hand –60'VVV Venlo:Luis Gorlich – for Ismail Oulad M'Hand –
- Amir rais – for Thomas Janssen –60'VVV Venlo:Amir rais – for Thomas Janssen –
- 64'Mathijs Menu – for Jerolldino BergraafJong AZ:Mathijs Menu – for Jerolldino Bergraaf
- 64'Kevin toppenberg – for Hessel de Wit –Jong AZ:Kevin toppenberg – for Hessel de Wit –
- Andreas Verstraeten –66'VVV Venlo:Andreas Verstraeten –
- Mattheos Tsigkas – for L. Schmidt –69'VVV Venlo:Mattheos Tsigkas – for L. Schmidt –
- Eanna Clancy – assist Lars de Blok –70'VVV Venlo:Eanna Clancy – assist Lars de Blok –
- Raf Vullers –74'VVV Venlo:Raf Vullers –
- 74'Jasper Hartog –Jong AZ:Jasper Hartog –
- 78'Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe for Wassim bouzianeJong AZ:Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe for Wassim bouziane
- 83'Bogdan Budko – for Julian SijbrandsJong AZ:Bogdan Budko – for Julian Sijbrands
- Lars de Blok –90'VVV Venlo:Lars de Blok –
- 90'Jesper Zwart –Jong AZ:Jesper Zwart –
- 90+3'Jasper Hartog – assist Bogdan Budko –Jong AZ:Jasper Hartog – assist Bogdan Budko –
- Eanna Clancy –90+4'VVV Venlo:Eanna Clancy –
- 90+4'Kevin toppenberg –Jong AZ:Kevin toppenberg –
Before kick-off (provisional): 35% · 29% · 36%(VVV Venlo · draw · Jong AZ)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 4–4 had <1%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VVV Venlo €286K, Jong AZ €638K.
- Eerste Divisie: A. Natali was the highest-rated defender (1851).
- Only 0 of VVV Venlo's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
- Only 0 of Jong AZ's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VVV Venlo
3rd in Eerste Divisie · 21 pts from 10
- 9 OctWJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1535
- 4 OctWRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1530
- 26 SepLFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1575
- 18 SepWJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1529
- 11 SepWFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1499
Jong AZ
11th in Eerste Divisie · 13 pts from 10
- 9 OctLDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1741
- 18 SepWFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1685
- 11 SepLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1694
- 5 SepWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1689
- 31 AugWJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1649
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 21 /10 | 59.7 | 5% | 42% | <1% | 3rd |
| Jong AZ | 13 /10 | 56.7 | 2% | 25% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VVV Venlo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1694
Jong AZ · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1806
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VVV Venlo: balanced profile (how Marinus Dijkhuizen plays) · Jong AZ: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Frank Peereboom plays)