Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 15
VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
VVV Venlo host FC Eindhoven on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: VVV Venlo 51%, draw 27%, FC Eindhoven 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VVV Venlo €288K, FC Eindhoven €263K.
- FC Eindhoven's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.6 over 180 days.
- Only 2 of VVV Venlo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. VVV Venlo goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: VVV Venlo 1628 · FC Eindhoven 1509
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VVV Venlo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1625
FC Eindhoven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1529
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VVV Venlo
2nd in Eerste Divisie · 25 pts from 12
- 28 OctLVitesse Netherlands KNVB Beker1583
- 24 OctWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1574
- 16 OctDJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1565
- 9 OctWJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1535
- 4 OctWRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1530
FC Eindhoven
17th in Eerste Divisie · 11 pts from 12
- 27 OctWFC Volendam Netherlands KNVB Beker1478
- 23 OctLJong PSV U21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie1496
- 16 OctLVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1502
- 9 OctLAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1513
- 3 OctDDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1512
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 25 /12 | 60.9 | 5% | 38% | 0% | 4th |
| FC Eindhoven | 11 /12 | 39.7 | 0% | 0% | 51% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VVV Venlo: balanced profile (how Marinus Dijkhuizen plays) · FC Eindhoven: balanced profile (how Jan Poortvliet plays)